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Risk: Relatively Low

Lonoke County, AR Environment & Hazard Risk

Relatively Low natural hazard risk, led by ice storm. 794 storm events since 1996.

Expected yearly loss
$41.08M
Relatively Low nationally
Storm events since 1996
794
Most often thunderstorm wind
Flood insurance policies
180
0.7% of homes
Hurricanes nearby
0
2 tropical storms or stronger since 1879

Natural hazard risk

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025

Overall risk

Relatively Low

Score 75.1 of 100

Social vulnerability

Very Low

Score 17.5 of 100

Community resilience

Relatively Low

Score 37.3 of 100

Community resilience runs the other way: a higher rating means a community can recover faster.

Building value exposed: $10.95B · Agriculture value exposed: $237M · Risk-adjusted yearly loss: $35.64M

Risk by hazard

  • Ice stormVery High$2.08M/yr expected annual loss, about 1.1 events a year
  • EarthquakeRelatively Moderate$9.93M/yr expected annual loss, about once every 182 years
  • Strong windRelatively High$2.05M/yr expected annual loss, about 3.0 events a year
  • TornadoRelatively Moderate$6.74M/yr expected annual loss, about once every 2 years
  • Heat waveRelatively Moderate$2.43M/yr expected annual loss, about 18 events a year
  • HailRelatively Low$717K/yr expected annual loss, about 4.7 events a year
  • LightningRelatively Moderate$537K/yr expected annual loss, about 59 events a year
  • Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$132K/yr expected annual loss, about 5.0 events a year
  • HurricaneVery Low$116K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 44 years
  • WildfireVery Low$63.44K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 1,567 years
  • Cold waveRelatively Low$932K/yr expected annual loss, about 1.0 events a year
  • LandslideVery Low$805/yr expected annual loss, about once every 4 years
  • DroughtRelatively Low$78.77K/yr expected annual loss, about 11 events a year

Bars show the national percentile score (0 to 100) for each hazard. Dollar figures are expected annual losses to buildings, people and crops. Not rated here: avalanche, coastal flooding, riverine flooding, tsunami, volcanic activity.

Flood risk and insurance

National Flood Insurance Program and FEMA flood maps

Check the flood zone for an address

Homes with flood insurance
180 of 27,577 (0.7%)
Homes in high-risk flood zones
1,598
Insured in high-risk zones
130 (8%)
Flood claims since 1978
89
Claims paid since 1978
$1.33M

Flood claims paid per year

Flood claims paid per year in Lonoke County
  • Mid-spring storms$448K · 18 claims
  • Central U.S. April Flooding$207K · 6 claims
  • Late spring severe storms$92.18K · 2 claims
  • Flooding$14.9K · 5 claims
  • Late winter severe storms$8,874 · 1 claim
  • Hurricane Gustav$3,349 · 2 claims

Storm history

Since 1996: 794 events, 8 deaths, $76.55M in damage

  • Thunderstorm Wind282 · 2 deaths
  • Hail215
  • Flash Flood71
  • Tornado57
  • Winter Weather29
  • Winter Storm23
  • Drought19
  • Flood15 · 1 death
  • Funnel Cloud14
  • Heavy Rain10

Events per year

Storm events per year in Lonoke County
21
56
71
33
62
35
26
25
18
17
27
31
23
15
20
23
25
13
16
6

89 tornadoes on record (EF0 4, EF1 19, EF2 5, F0 15, F1 21, F2 19, F3 3, F4 1).

Most damaging storms

Since 1996, ranked by deaths, injuries and damage

  • Thunderstorm Wind56 kt wind06/26/2023

    Carlisle, Lonoke County

    2 deaths, 1 injured

    What happened

    A large tree fell on a house causing 2 fatalities and 1 injury in Carlisle.

  • TornadoEF2, 6.98 mi path, 200 yd wide04/15/2011

    Pettus, Lonoke County

    $20.05M damage

    What happened

    A tornado destroyed 51 large steel power transmission towers. These towers carried 500 kilovolt transmission lines. For the most part, the towers fell into open farm fields, but one fell into a pond on a fish farm. The power cables that fell with the towers blocked a number of roads, including Arkansas Highway 31. Power poles, power lines, and trees were blown down as well.

  • Flood05/01/2011

    Austin, Lonoke County

    1 death, $9M damage

    What happened

    Widespread areal flooding continued from April into May. Parts of Arkansas Highways 13, 236, and 381 as well as U.S. Highway 70 were closed due to flooding. On the morning of the 1st, two sections of U.S. Highway 67/167 Southbound were closed due to flooding, and one section of the highway was closed Northbound. On the 2nd, Arkansas Highway 89 was closed due to high water, and fast-flowing water more than a foot deep was over Kerr Station Rd. On the 3rd, a 55 year-old man drowned when he drove around barricades into flood waters several feet deep on Arkansas Highway 236 northeast of Furlow. His body was not recovered until the 6th.

  • Hail2.75" hail06/30/2009

    Kerr, Lonoke County

    $12M damage

    What happened

    The devastating hailstorm moved eastward out of Pulaski County, and continued east across all of Lonoke County. The hail swath about 10 miles wide. The hail ranged in size from the size of nickels (0.88 inch) to the size of baseballs (2.75 inches). Communities affected included South Bend, Parnell, Furlow, Fairview, Brownsville, Lonoke, and Carlisle. ||The largest hail fell a few miles north and northeast of Lonoke, where much of the hail was golf ball size (1.75 inches) to baseball size (2.75 inches). The hailstones ruined roofs, damaged siding on houses, broke windows in houses, broke car windshields, killed birds perched in trees, and destroyed gardens and crops. The worst damage was found in the vicinity of these roads: Plafcan Rd., Fred Koch Rd., Watson Lane, E. Watson Rd., Ferguson Ln., Wesley Kittler Rd., Kittler Rd., E. Schafer Rd., Raymond Schafer Rd., Brownsville Loop, Arkansas Highway 13, Lawson Rd., Lilly Rd., Oakdale Rd., Northcutt Rd., D.K. Bennett Rd., Bud Young Rd., and Arkansas Highway 31.||The University of Arkansas Cooperative Extension Service indicated that between 22 and 27 farmers lost 60% to 100% of their crops. Altogether, about 26,000 acres of crops...

  • Strong Wind48 kt wind01/29/2008

    Lonoke

    1 death, $250K damage

    What happened

    Strong winds blew a very large oak tree down onto a house. A 32 year old woman was killed in her bed as the tree crashed into the house. Electrical lines were reported down, trees were uprooted and structures were damaged across the county.

  • Ice Storm02/04/2014

    Lonoke

    1 death, $200K damage

    What happened

    Arctic air was over Arkansas on the 4th, and an area of low pressure aloft moved in from the southwest. As a result, widespread precipitation developed. Freezing rain and sleet began moving into western Arkansas before dawn on the 4th. A swath of counties from west central Arkansas through the central part of the state into northeast Arkansas experience an ice storm, with accruals of 1/4 to 1/2 inch common. Trees, power lines, and power poles were brought down by the ice. About 45,000 electric customers lost power. In a few instances, it took three and a half days to restore power. Several counties opened warming shelters for those who had no electricity. The extreme northern counties had snow and sleet with some freezing rain mixed in; snow and sleet accumulations totaled 1 to 2 inches. The extreme southern part of the state had only a cold rain.||There were two indirect fatalities and one indirect injury. At 6:57 AM, a 36-year-old man driving on Interstate 40 near Lonoke in Lonoke County lost control on an icy bridge, left the highway, and ran into some trees. At 3:15 PM, a 4-year-old girl was seriously injured when the car in which she was riding slid off U.S. 62 about 7...

Latest storm reports

Newest first

  • Thunderstorm Wind52 kt wind07/06/2026

    England, Lonoke County

  • Thunderstorm Wind52 kt wind07/06/2026

    Scott, Lonoke County

  • Thunderstorm Wind52 kt wind06/12/2026

    Lonoke, Lonoke County

  • Tornado3.12 mi path, 50 yd wide06/12/2026

    Mccreanor, Lonoke County

  • Hail0.75" hail03/15/2026

    Woodlawn, Lonoke County

  • Winter Storm01/24/2026

    Lonoke

  • Thunderstorm Wind56 kt wind06/28/2025

    Sisemore, Lonoke County

  • Thunderstorm Wind52 kt wind05/01/2025

    Cabot, Lonoke County

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Storms whose track crossed Lonoke County, with the wind when it passed

Drinking water

13 community water systems serve about 90,919 people. Violations since 2021.

2 systems had health-based violations, such as a contaminant over the legal limit or a missed treatment step. 1 system had a violation of any kind still open at last report.

  • Cabot WaterworksServes 27,578 · Purchased surface water · FederalNo health violations
  • Grand Prairie Regional WaterServes 16,330 · Groundwater · Local governmentNo health violations
  • Grand Prairie Bayou 2 PwaServes 13,138 · Purchased surface water · Local governmentNo health violations+1 monitoring or reporting
  • Ward WaterworksServes 12,579 · Purchased surface water · Local government3 health violations+1 monitoring or reporting
  • Lonoke WaterworksServes 4,277 · Groundwater · Local government5 health violations
  • Des Arc WaterworksServes 4,245 · Groundwater · Local governmentNo health violations+1 monitoring or reporting
  • Austin WaterworksServes 3,600 · Purchased surface water · Local governmentNo health violations+3 monitoring or reporting
  • Furlow Public Water AuthorityServes 3,138 · Purchased surface water · Local governmentNo health violations

Largest systems by population served. Monitoring and reporting violations mean required tests or notices were late or missing, not that the water was unsafe.

Climate

1991-2020 normals at Keo, 13 mi from the county center

Summer highs peak around 90°F in Jul and winter lows bottom out near 31°F in Jan. About 50.5 inches of rain falls in a typical year, with 3.0 inches of snow.

MonthHighLowRainSnow
Jan50°F31°F3.84 in1.0 in
Feb54°F34°F4.02 in1.4 in
Mar63°F42°F5.05 in0.5 in
Apr73°F51°F5.50 in-
May80°F60°F4.80 in-
Jun87°F68°F3.36 in-
Jul90°F71°F3.53 in-
Aug89°F69°F2.98 in-
Sep84°F62°F3.14 in-
Oct74°F51°F4.39 in-
Nov61°F41°F4.46 in-
Dec52°F34°F5.46 in0.1 in
Year61°F average50.5 in3.0 in

Pollution sites

1 Superfund site and 3 toxic release facilities in Lonoke County

Superfund sites

Toxic release facilities

Total: 167,299 lbs in 2024, 11,024 lbs to air.

Superfund sitesToxic release facilitiesEPA inspections and enforcementAir toxics cancer risk22 historic places

Frequently asked questions

How risky is Lonoke County for natural disasters?
FEMA rates Lonoke County relatively low for overall natural hazard risk, with expected losses of $41.08M a year. The highest-rated hazards are ice storm (very high), earthquake (relatively moderate), strong wind (relatively high).
What storms are most common in Lonoke County?
Since 1996, NOAA recorded 794 storm events affecting Lonoke County, most often thunderstorm wind (282), hail (215), flash flood (71).
How many tornadoes have hit Lonoke County?
89 tornadoes have been recorded in Lonoke County since 1950, including 4 rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
How many homes in Lonoke County have flood insurance?
180 residential flood insurance policies are in force in Lonoke County, covering about 0.7% of homes. The program has paid $1.33M on 89 claims here since 1978.
What is the weather like in Lonoke County?
At Keo, average highs reach 90°F in Jul and lows fall to 31°F in Jan, with 50.5 inches of rain a year (1991-2020 normals).

Source: FEMA (National Risk Index, NFIP), NOAA (Storm Events, HURDAT2, Climate Normals), EPA · Last updated 08/01/2026 · Storm counts include events in forecast zones that touch the county. This product uses the FEMA OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA.