Skip to content
Risk: Relatively Low

Lafayette County, MO Environment & Hazard Risk

Relatively Low natural hazard risk, led by cold wave. 482 storm events since 1996.

Expected yearly loss
$20.15M
Relatively Low nationally
Storm events since 1996
482
Most often hail
Flood insurance policies
5
0.0% of homes
Hurricanes nearby
0
Since 1851

Natural hazard risk

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025

Overall risk

Relatively Low

Score 52.5 of 100

Social vulnerability

Relatively Low

Score 21.0 of 100

Community resilience

Relatively High

Score 75.2 of 100

Community resilience runs the other way: a higher rating means a community can recover faster.

Building value exposed: $8.82B · Agriculture value exposed: $210M · Risk-adjusted yearly loss: $18.02M

Risk by hazard

  • Cold waveRelatively Moderate$7.07M/yr expected annual loss, about 2.3 events a year
  • Heat waveRelatively Low$1.38M/yr expected annual loss, about 13 events a year
  • LandslideRelatively Low$8,121/yr expected annual loss, about once every 5 years
  • Ice stormRelatively Moderate$254K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 1 year
  • DroughtRelatively Moderate$536K/yr expected annual loss, about 9.4 events a year
  • TornadoRelatively Moderate$2.6M/yr expected annual loss, about once every 3 years
  • HailRelatively Low$547K/yr expected annual loss, about 6.6 events a year
  • Strong windRelatively Moderate$748K/yr expected annual loss, about 4.9 events a year
  • EarthquakeVery Low$265K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 754 years
  • Winter weatherRelatively Low$62.49K/yr expected annual loss, about 10 events a year
  • WildfireVery Low$21.33K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 2,067 years
  • LightningRelatively Low$141K/yr expected annual loss, about 49 events a year
  • HurricaneVery Low$5,223/yr expected annual loss, about once every 100 years

Bars show the national percentile score (0 to 100) for each hazard. Dollar figures are expected annual losses to buildings, people and crops. Not rated here: avalanche, coastal flooding, riverine flooding, tsunami, volcanic activity.

Flood risk and insurance

National Flood Insurance Program and FEMA flood maps

Check the flood zone for an address

Homes with flood insurance
5 of 15,994 (0.0%)
Homes in high-risk flood zones
81
Insured in high-risk zones
2 (2%)
Flood claims since 1978
18
Claims paid since 1978
$276K

Flood claims paid per year

Flood claims paid per year in Lafayette County
  • Late spring storms$37K · 1 claim
  • Midwest Flooding$35.11K · 3 claims
  • Flooding$18.32K · 2 claims
  • Not a named storm$2,531 · 1 claim

Storm history

Since 1996: 482 events, 3 deaths, $4.07M in damage

  • Hail127
  • Thunderstorm Wind121
  • Flood84
  • Drought27
  • Flash Flood24
  • Winter Storm23
  • Tornado16
  • Heat14
  • Heavy Snow12
  • Extreme Cold/Wind Chill8 · 1 death

Events per year

Storm events per year in Lafayette County
22
11
6
10
26
8
9
9
18
12
28
10
13
9
4
10
14
20
16
1

29 tornadoes on record (EF0 10, EF1 2, F0 6, F1 6, F2 4, F3 1).

Most damaging storms

Since 1996, ranked by deaths, injuries and damage

  • Winter Weather02/06/2019

    Lafayette

    2 deaths, 2 injured, $100K damage

    What happened

    Two fatalities occurred the evening of 2/5/19 on I-70, in Lafayette County when a vehicle skidded off the road due to ice. A semi trailing the vehicular accident then impacted the vehicle, killing two of the four occupants. The MHP police report is linked here: https://www.mshp.dps.missouri.gov/HP68/AccidentDetailsAction?ACC_RPT_NUM=190068843 . Aside from those two accidents, there have been numerous injury accidents, mostly resulting in minor injuries, with a handful of moderate to serious injuries. Highway 7 just north of Pleasant Hill was closed for several hours on Tuesday evening because a MODoT salt truck among other vehicles impacted the guard rail just north of town. NWS employee tried to get home at 7:30 pm CST, and had to return to work due to impassible roads. The incoming midnight shift was able to report to work, but were delayed due to the icy roads.

  • Extreme Cold/Wind Chill12/10/2000

    Lafayette

    1 death

    What happened

    Arctic air gripped the region from around the 10th of December, through the end of the month. Except for a few hours on the 15th and 16th, temperatures remained below freezing through the entire period. Snow cover persisted from the 13th through the end of the month. Kansas City had its second coldest December on record. The Kansas City International Airport averaged 10 to 20 degrees below normal through the cold outbreak. Average highs were in the teens and twenties with average lows in the single digits. No daily records were broken. The lowest reading at the Kansas City international airport was 9 below zero and it went to 16 below zero at Maryville, both on the 22nd. Numerous broken water pipes and water mains were reported, especially in the Kansas City area. The extreme cold claimed the life of a 19 year old Lafayette county man from exposure.

  • Flood04/22/1999

    Lafayette

    $1M damage

    What happened

    Thunderstorms brought very heavy rain to parts of west-central Missouri on April 22, causing flash flooding in the Kansas City metro area, and minor to moderate river flooding in several locations in northwest and west central Missouri. Estimated rain totals of 1-2 inches were common throughout the metro area and into Ray County. River flooding occurred along the Missouri near St. Joseph, Sibley, Napoleon, Waverly, Miami, Glasgow, and Boonville, the South Grand at Urich, the Crooked River at Richmond, Wakenda Creek at Carrollton, the Little Platte near Smithville, the Fishing River at Mosby, and the Grand River at Chillicothe, Sumner, and Brunswick. Continued rainfall over the following several days kept some of the flooded streams above flood stage into the month of May.

  • Flash Flood05/12/2002

    Odessa, Lafayette County

    $800K damage

    What happened

    Junction of highway 131 and county road FF closed due to high water.

  • Flood06/27/1999

    Lafayette

    $500K damage

    What happened

    Excessive rainfall across northeast Kansas and northwest and west-central Missouri on June 27 and 28 caused extensive river flooding across western and central Missouri. Minor to moderate flooding occurred on the Missouri River at St. Joseph, Kansas City, Sibley, Napoleon, Glasgow, and Boonville, Big Creek near Blairstown, the Blackwater River at Valley City and Blue Lick, the Blue River near Bannister Road and Blue Parkway in Kansas City, the Lamine River at Otterville, the Little Blue near Lake City, the Platte River at Sharps Station and Platte City, the South Grand at Urich, the Little Platte near Smithville, the Crooked River near Richmond, the Fishing River near Mosby, and the Chariton River at Brunswick. Major flooding occurred at two locations on the Missouri River. At Waverly, the river crested on June 30 at 29.05 feet, which is 9.05 feet above flood stage. At Miami, the river crested on the evening of June 30 at 27.5 feet, which is 9.5 feet above flood stage. Many of the affected streams remained above flood stage into the month of July. On June 28, a 29-year old man was killed after apparently being swept under while rappelling off a bridge into the flooded...

  • TornadoF2, 9 mi path, 300 yd wide05/10/2003

    Corder, Lafayette County

    $500K damage

    What happened

    Tornado reported near Corder and tracked northeast into Saline county. destoyed a machine shed, house with grain bins damaged along with a dairy barn.

Latest storm reports

Newest first

  • Heavy Snow01/24/2026

    Lafayette

  • Drought11/01/2025

    Lafayette

  • Drought10/14/2025

    Lafayette

  • Thunderstorm Wind52 kt wind09/18/2025

    Lexington, Lafayette County

  • Thunderstorm Wind52 kt wind09/18/2025

    Napoleon, Lafayette County

  • Thunderstorm Wind52 kt wind09/18/2025

    Bates City, Lafayette County

  • Thunderstorm Wind52 kt wind09/16/2025

    Bates City, Lafayette County

  • Thunderstorm Wind52 kt wind07/12/2025

    Higginsville Jct Arp, Lafayette County

Drinking water

15 community water systems serve about 36,111 people. Violations since 2021.

3 systems had health-based violations, such as a contaminant over the legal limit or a missed treatment step. 3 systems had a violation of any kind still open at last report.

  • Lafayette County Pwsd 1Serves 8,250 · Purchased groundwater · Local governmentNo health violations
  • Laf Jo Saline County Cons Pwsd 2Serves 7,180 · Purchased surface water · Local governmentNo health violations
  • Odessa PwsServes 5,202 · Groundwater · Local governmentNo health violations+1 monitoring or reporting
  • Higginsville PwsServes 4,800 · Surface water · Local governmentNo health violations+1 monitoring or reporting
  • Lexington PwsServes 4,729 · Groundwater · Local governmentNo health violations+2 monitoring or reporting
  • Concordia PwsServes 2,500 · Surface water · Local government5 health violations+10 monitoring or reporting
  • Waverly PwsServes 900 · Purchased groundwater · Local government1 health violation+1 monitoring or reporting
  • Wellington PwsServes 812 · Purchased groundwater · Local governmentNo health violations+1 monitoring or reporting

Largest systems by population served. Monitoring and reporting violations mean required tests or notices were late or missing, not that the water was unsafe.

Climate

1991-2020 normals at Higginsville, 5.2 mi from the county center

Summer highs peak around 87°F in Jul and winter lows bottom out near 18°F in Jan. About 40.9 inches of rain falls in a typical year, with 13.7 inches of snow.

MonthHighLowRainSnow
Jan36°F18°F1.37 in4.8 in
Feb42°F23°F1.77 in3.1 in
Mar53°F33°F2.84 in1.4 in
Apr64°F43°F4.24 in0.2 in
May74°F55°F5.30 in-
Jun83°F64°F4.88 in-
Jul87°F68°F5.04 in-
Aug86°F65°F3.94 in-
Sep79°F57°F4.04 in-
Oct67°F45°F3.16 in0.2 in
Nov52°F33°F2.46 in1.0 in
Dec41°F23°F1.83 in3.0 in
Year54°F average40.9 in13.7 in

Pollution sites

0 Superfund sites and 1 toxic release facility in Lafayette County

Superfund sites

None in this county.

Toxic release facilities

Superfund sitesToxic release facilitiesEPA inspections and enforcementAir toxics cancer risk22 historic places

Frequently asked questions

How risky is Lafayette County for natural disasters?
FEMA rates Lafayette County relatively low for overall natural hazard risk, with expected losses of $20.15M a year. The highest-rated hazards are cold wave (relatively moderate), heat wave (relatively low), landslide (relatively low).
What storms are most common in Lafayette County?
Since 1996, NOAA recorded 482 storm events affecting Lafayette County, most often hail (127), thunderstorm wind (121), flood (84).
How many tornadoes have hit Lafayette County?
29 tornadoes have been recorded in Lafayette County since 1950, including 1 rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
How many homes in Lafayette County have flood insurance?
5 residential flood insurance policies are in force in Lafayette County, covering about 0.0% of homes. The program has paid $276K on 18 claims here since 1978.
What is the weather like in Lafayette County?
At Higginsville, average highs reach 87°F in Jul and lows fall to 18°F in Jan, with 40.9 inches of rain a year (1991-2020 normals).

Source: FEMA (National Risk Index, NFIP), NOAA (Storm Events, HURDAT2, Climate Normals), EPA · Last updated 08/01/2026 · Storm counts include events in forecast zones that touch the county. This product uses the FEMA OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA.