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Risk: Relatively High

Pima County, AZ Environment & Hazard Risk

Relatively High natural hazard risk, led by heat wave. 2,563 storm events since 1996.

Expected yearly loss
$531M
Relatively High nationally
Storm events since 1996
2,563
Most often thunderstorm wind
Flood insurance policies
2,620
0.7% of homes
Hurricanes nearby
0
1 tropical storm or stronger since 1992

Natural hazard risk

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025

Overall risk

Relatively High

Score 99.1 of 100

Social vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Score 50.9 of 100

Community resilience

Relatively Low

Score 20.3 of 100

Community resilience runs the other way: a higher rating means a community can recover faster.

Building value exposed: $178B · Agriculture value exposed: $97.17M · Risk-adjusted yearly loss: $616M

Risk by hazard

  • Heat waveVery High$133M/yr expected annual loss, about 8.1 events a year
  • WildfireRelatively High$37.56M/yr expected annual loss, about once every 230 years
  • LightningVery High$2.51M/yr expected annual loss, about 43 events a year
  • HailRelatively Moderate$1.81M/yr expected annual loss, about once every 4 years
  • EarthquakeRelatively Moderate$6.32M/yr expected annual loss, about once every 68 years
  • Strong windRelatively Moderate$1.31M/yr expected annual loss, about once every 1 year
  • Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$200K/yr expected annual loss, about 1.8 events a year
  • DroughtRelatively Moderate$459K/yr expected annual loss, about 57 events a year
  • LandslideVery Low$2,235/yr expected annual loss, about 2.1 events a year
  • AvalancheVery Low$358/yr expected annual loss, about once every 100 years
  • TornadoRelatively Low$688K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 4 years
  • HurricaneVery Low$4,770/yr expected annual loss, about once every 61 years
  • Cold waveVery Low$150/yr expected annual loss, about once every 874 years

Bars show the national percentile score (0 to 100) for each hazard. Dollar figures are expected annual losses to buildings, people and crops. Not rated here: coastal flooding, ice storm, riverine flooding, tsunami, volcanic activity.

Flood risk and insurance

National Flood Insurance Program and FEMA flood maps

Check the flood zone for an address

Homes with flood insurance
2,620 of 383,267 (0.7%)
Homes in high-risk flood zones
8,094
Insured in high-risk zones
1,708 (21%)
Flood claims since 1978
584
Claims paid since 1978
$7.87M

Flood claims paid per year

Flood claims paid per year in Pima County
  • Flooding$1.12M · 114 claims

Storm history

Since 1996: 2,563 events, 730 deaths, $248M in damage

  • Thunderstorm Wind659
  • Flash Flood546 · 22 deaths
  • Heat271 · 371 deaths
  • Drought271
  • Excessive Heat243 · 312 deaths
  • Hail152
  • Lightning78 · 3 deaths
  • Wildfire67
  • Flood44 · 1 death
  • Winter Storm44

Events per year

Storm events per year in Pima County

30 tornadoes on record (EF0 5, EF1 1, F0 8, F1 9, F2 2).

Most damaging storms

Since 1996, ranked by deaths, injuries and damage

  • Excessive Heat07/14/2023

    Tucson Metro Area

    40 deaths

    What happened

    Very hot temperatures of 6 to 13 degrees above normal caused the Major Heat Risk category to be reached across eastern Pima County July 14-29. Record highs at Tucson International Airport included 112 degrees on July 20 and 25 (also reached 112 July 18-19); 111 on July 16, 17 and 21; and 110 on the 15th. A total of 40 heat-related fatalities were reported by the Pima County Medical Examiner. Heat was determined to be the primary cause of death for 13 individuals in Tucson, one in Oro Valley, and one near Sahuarita. Seven of these deaths occurred outdoors while eight individuals were found indoors with A/C units which were either not working, turned off or not present at all. Heat was determined to be a contributing factor for 25 individuals, in Tucson or the immediate vicinity. Twelve of these included the complicating factor of drug toxicity (10 outdoors and 2 indoors with a nonfunctioning A/C). Ten in Tucson suffered from various health issues (2 outdoors and 8 indoors with a nonfunctioning A/C). Heat was a contributing factor for an additional three individuals who had other health issues, one each in Green Valley, Sahuarita and Vail.

  • Excessive Heat07/08/2024

    Tucson Metro Area

    20 deaths

    What happened

    Hot temperatures 8 to 11 degrees above normal were experienced in the Tucson Metro Area July 8 through July 12, causing the Major Heat Risk category to be reached. Tucson International Airport topped out each day between 109 and 112 degrees. The Pima County Medical Examiner confirmed that heat was the primary factor in the death of eight individuals and a contributing factor in the deaths of twelve individuals.

  • Heat07/11/2023

    Tucson Metro Area

    14 deaths

    What happened

    Hot temperatures up to 6 degrees above normal caused the Moderate Heat Risk category to be reached in eastern Pima County where temperatures topped out between 101 and 107 degrees. A total of 14 heat-related fatalities were reported by the Pima County Medical Examiner. Heat was determined to be the primary cause of death for two individuals found in the desert, one near Three Points on the 12th and another in the Ironwood Forest National Monument on the 13th. Heat was also found to the primary cause of death for four individuals in Tucson. Two individuals were found on the 13th on Tucson streets and subsequently died at the hospital. Another was found deceased outdoors on the 13th and a fourth died on the 12th in their home where the A/C had been turned off. Heat was found to be a contributing factor in the deaths of 8 individuals in Tucson. Two persons died in their homes in which the A/C unit was either broken or turned off. They both also had complicating factors of heart disease. Six others were found outside at various locations in the city. The complicating factor for four of them was drug toxicity, while the other two suffered from other health issues.

  • Excessive Heat07/14/2023

    Tohono O Odham Nation

    12 deaths

    What happened

    Very hot temperatures of 5 to 13 degrees above normal caused the Major Heat Risk category to be reached across the Tohono O'odham Nation July 14-29. Record highs at Sells included 113 degrees on July 20; 112 on July 19; 111 on July 17, 18, 21 and 22; and 110 on July 15, 17 and 29. A total of 12 heat-related fatalities were reported by the Pima County Medical Examiner. Heat was determined to be the primary cause of death for eight individuals found in the desert during the period; one individual who died in a non-air conditioned shack in Topawa on July 21; and an elderly couple who died in their Santa Rosa home due to a broken A/C unit on July 27. Heat was determined to be a contributing factor for one individual found in a shack in Ali Chugk on July 20. A complicating factor in the fatality was drug toxicity.

  • Excessive Heat06/12/2021

    Tohono O Odham Nation

    11 deaths

    What happened

    Very hot high temperatures of 106 to 119 degrees, or 8 to 13 degrees above normal, occurred in the lower elevations of southeast Arizona June 12-20, and caused the High Heat Risk category to be reached. New record daily high temperature records were established at numerous sites on several days during this period. For Tucson International Airport, this nine day period contributed to the hottest June on record and the 4th hottest temperature on record of 115 degrees occurred on June 15. Sites that tied or broke all time hottest temperature records included Ajo with 119 degrees, Sasabe with 113, Green Valley with 112. The Pima County Medical Examiner confirmed that heat was the primary cause of death for 14 people found in the desert of Pima and Santa Cruz counties during this time period.

  • Heat08/07/2023

    Tucson Metro Area

    10 deaths

    What happened

    Hot temperatures up to 5 degrees above normal caused the Moderate Heat Risk category to be reached in Tucson where temperatures topped out between 100 and 105 degrees. The Pima County Medical Examiner determined heat to be the primary cause of death for seven individuals in the Tucson Metro area (six indoors with nonfunctioning A/C units and one hiking outdoors). Heat was determined to be a contributing factor in the deaths of three other individuals (two indoors with nonfunctioning A/C units but complicating factors of drug toxicity; and another outdoors with a complicating factor of other health issues).

Latest storm reports

Newest first

  • Excessive Heat07/31/2026

    Tucson Metro Area

    6 deaths

  • Excessive Heat07/30/2026

    Tucson Metro Area

    3 deaths

  • Excessive Heat07/29/2026

    Tucson Metro Area

    2 deaths

  • Excessive Heat07/28/2026

    Tucson Metro Area

    2 deaths

  • Excessive Heat07/27/2026

    Tucson Metro Area

    4 deaths

  • Excessive Heat07/27/2026

    Tohono O Odham Nation

    1 death

  • Excessive Heat07/26/2026

    Tohono O Odham Nation

    1 death

  • Excessive Heat07/26/2026

    Tucson Metro Area

    2 deaths

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Storms whose track crossed Pima County, with the wind when it passed

Drinking water

142 community water systems serve about 1,064,305 people. Violations since 2021.

26 systems had health-based violations, such as a contaminant over the legal limit or a missed treatment step. 27 systems had a violation of any kind still open at last report.

Largest systems by population served. Monitoring and reporting violations mean required tests or notices were late or missing, not that the water was unsafe.

Climate

1991-2020 normals at Kitt Peak, 11 mi from the county center

Summer highs peak around 80°F in Jul and winter lows bottom out near 34°F in Jan. About 19.9 inches of rain falls in a typical year, with 8.0 inches of snow.

MonthHighLowRainSnow
Jan51°F34°F1.67 in0.9 in
Feb51°F34°F1.53 in2.3 in
Mar56°F37°F1.47 in2.2 in
Apr63°F42°F0.25 in0.9 in
May71°F49°F0.29 in-
Jun80°F59°F0.40 in-
Jul80°F61°F4.01 in-
Aug79°F60°F4.39 in-
Sep75°F57°F2.43 in-
Oct68°F49°F0.90 in0.4 in
Nov58°F40°F0.69 in0.3 in
Dec50°F34°F1.88 in1.0 in
Year56°F average19.9 in8.0 in

Pollution sites

1 Superfund site and 28 toxic release facilities in Pima County

Superfund sites

Toxic release facilities

Total: 3.9 million lbs in 2024, 81,074 lbs to air.

Superfund sitesToxic release facilitiesEPA inspections and enforcementAir toxics cancer risk107 historic places

Frequently asked questions

How risky is Pima County for natural disasters?
FEMA rates Pima County relatively high for overall natural hazard risk, with expected losses of $531M a year. The highest-rated hazards are heat wave (very high), wildfire (relatively high), lightning (very high).
What storms are most common in Pima County?
Since 1996, NOAA recorded 2,563 storm events affecting Pima County, most often thunderstorm wind (659), flash flood (546), heat (271).
How many tornadoes have hit Pima County?
30 tornadoes have been recorded in Pima County since 1950.
How many homes in Pima County have flood insurance?
2,620 residential flood insurance policies are in force in Pima County, covering about 0.7% of homes. The program has paid $7.87M on 584 claims here since 1978.
What is the weather like in Pima County?
At Kitt Peak, average highs reach 80°F in Jul and lows fall to 34°F in Jan, with 19.9 inches of rain a year (1991-2020 normals).

Source: FEMA (National Risk Index, NFIP), NOAA (Storm Events, HURDAT2, Climate Normals), EPA · Last updated 08/01/2026 · Storm counts include events in forecast zones that touch the county. This product uses the FEMA OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA.