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Risk: Very Low

Modoc County, CA Environment & Hazard Risk

Very Low natural hazard risk, led by drought. 461 storm events since 1996.

Expected yearly loss
$9.8M
Very Low nationally
Storm events since 1996
461
Most often frost/freeze
Flood insurance policies
58
1.0% of homes
Hurricanes nearby
0
Since 1851

Natural hazard risk

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025

Overall risk

Very Low

Score 39.7 of 100

Social vulnerability

Relatively High

Score 66.8 of 100

Community resilience

Relatively Low

Score 21.8 of 100

Community resilience runs the other way: a higher rating means a community can recover faster.

Building value exposed: $3.3B · Agriculture value exposed: $148M · Risk-adjusted yearly loss: $12.9M

Risk by hazard

  • DroughtRelatively High$2.7M/yr expected annual loss, about 98 events a year
  • WildfireRelatively Moderate$1.8M/yr expected annual loss, about once every 187 years
  • Volcanic activityVery Low$821/yr expected annual loss, about once every 417 years
  • EarthquakeRelatively Low$583K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 66 years
  • Winter weatherRelatively Low$28.9K/yr expected annual loss, about 17 events a year
  • LandslideVery Low$314/yr expected annual loss, about once every 1 year
  • AvalancheVery Low$89/yr expected annual loss, about once every 100 years
  • Heat waveVery Low$106K/yr expected annual loss, about 3.3 events a year
  • LightningVery Low$26.4K/yr expected annual loss, about 14 events a year
  • Cold waveVery Low$56.2K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 11 years
  • HailVery Low$5,826/yr expected annual loss, about once every 22 years
  • Strong windVery Low$4,213/yr expected annual loss, about once every 32 years
  • TornadoVery Low$572/yr expected annual loss, about once every 53 years

Bars show the national percentile score (0 to 100) for each hazard. Dollar figures are expected annual losses to buildings, people and crops. Not rated here: coastal flooding, hurricane, ice storm, riverine flooding, tsunami.

Flood risk and insurance

National Flood Insurance Program and FEMA flood maps

Check the flood zone for an address

Homes with flood insurance
58 of 5,734 (1.0%)
Homes in high-risk flood zones
413
Insured in high-risk zones
56 (14%)

Storm history

Since 1996: 461 events, 1 death, $334M in damage

  • Frost/Freeze116
  • High Wind87
  • Heavy Snow81
  • Extreme Cold/Wind Chill55
  • Wildfire33 · 1 death
  • Winter Storm18
  • Winter Weather11
  • Flood10
  • Strong Wind9
  • Excessive Heat8

Events per year

Storm events per year in Modoc County
15
25
11
15
10
28
10
16
20
15
29
16
18
12
10
11
5
21
18
4

Most damaging storms

Since 1996, ranked by deaths, injuries and damage

  • Flood01/01/1997

    Surprise Valley

    $330M damage

    What happened

    Please see flood summary under Nevada zones from 1/01/97 to 1/17/97.

  • Wildfire07/30/2015

    Modoc County

    1 death

    What happened

    The Frog Wildfire was started by lightning at around 1645 PST on 07/30/2015. As of 0330 PST on 08/01/2015, the fire covered 1000 acres and was 10 percent contained. 400,000 dollars had been spent on firefighting efforts. On the evening of July 30, 2015, 38 year-old Black Hills National Forest Engine Captain, David ���Dave��� Ruhl, while scouting on foot during initial attack of the Frog Fire on the Modoc National Forest, was entrapped and killed.

  • Flood05/08/2005

    Modoc County

    $2.3M damage

    What happened

    County officials reported widespread main stem flooding on the Pit River due to heavy rain and snowmelt that occurred in the Warner Mountains several days before. The river was reported to be 1/4 to 1/2 mile in spots with several county roads inundated and closed. A lot of farmland was also submerged, but no structural damage was reported.

  • Flood02/03/2025

    Lookout, Modoc County

    $1M damage

    What happened

    Nearly two days of heavy rain, with amounts of around 1.50 to 2.50 inches, combined with snow melt caused the Pit River near Canby to rise to a peak above major flood stage. This was the fourth highest peak since records began in 1904, and the highest peak in the past 28 years. The river rose above minor flood stage of 8.5 ft. at 03/1445 PST, peaked in major flood stage at 04/2330 PST at 11.13 ft. It then fell slowly, dropping below minor flood stage at 08/0130 PST.

  • Wildfire08/01/2014

    Modoc County

    $1M damage

    What happened

    The Day Wildfire was started by lightning on 07/30/2014. As of 08/13/2014, the fire covered 13153 acres and was 96% contained. 15.9 million dollars had been spent on firefighting efforts. Ten structures were lost.

Drinking water

5 community water systems serve about 4,435 people. Violations since 2021.

3 systems had health-based violations, such as a contaminant over the legal limit or a missed treatment step. 3 systems had a violation of any kind still open at last report.

Largest systems by population served. Monitoring and reporting violations mean required tests or notices were late or missing, not that the water was unsafe.

Climate

1991-2020 normals at Alturas MUNI AP, 11 mi from the county center

Summer highs peak around 89°F in Jul and winter lows bottom out near 20°F in Dec. About 11.7 inches of rain falls in a typical year.

MonthHighLowRain
Jan43°F21°F1.31 in
Feb47°F23°F1.09 in
Mar53°F27°F1.38 in
Apr58°F30°F1.47 in
May68°F37°F1.26 in
Jun78°F42°F0.70 in
Jul89°F47°F0.29 in
Aug87°F44°F0.27 in
Sep80°F37°F0.35 in
Oct66°F29°F0.89 in
Nov51°F25°F1.20 in
Dec41°F20°F1.47 in
Year48°F average11.7 in

Pollution sites

0 Superfund sites and 0 toxic release facilities in Modoc County

No Superfund sites or toxic release facilities in Modoc County in our data.

Superfund sitesToxic release facilitiesEPA inspections and enforcementAir toxics cancer risk6 historic places

Frequently asked questions

How risky is Modoc County for natural disasters?
FEMA rates Modoc County very low for overall natural hazard risk, with expected losses of $9.8M a year. The highest-rated hazards are drought (relatively high), wildfire (relatively moderate), volcanic activity (very low).
What storms are most common in Modoc County?
Since 1996, NOAA recorded 461 storm events affecting Modoc County, most often frost/freeze (116), high wind (87), heavy snow (81).
How many homes in Modoc County have flood insurance?
58 residential flood insurance policies are in force in Modoc County, covering about 1.0% of homes.
What is the weather like in Modoc County?
At Alturas MUNI AP, average highs reach 89°F in Jul and lows fall to 20°F in Dec, with 11.7 inches of rain a year (1991-2020 normals).

Source: FEMA (National Risk Index, NFIP), NOAA (Storm Events, HURDAT2, Climate Normals), EPA · Last updated 08/01/2026 · Storm counts include events in forecast zones that touch the county. This product uses the FEMA OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA.