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Risk: Relatively Moderate

Polk County, IA Environment & Hazard Risk

Relatively Moderate natural hazard risk, led by strong wind. 2,144 storm events since 1996.

Expected yearly loss
$138M
Relatively Moderate nationally
Storm events since 1996
2,144
Most often thunderstorm wind
Flood insurance policies
670
0.4% of homes
Hurricanes nearby
0
Since 1851

Natural hazard risk

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025

Overall risk

Relatively Moderate

Score 92.0 of 100

Social vulnerability

Very Low

Score 17.0 of 100

Community resilience

Very High

Score 91.2 of 100

Community resilience runs the other way: a higher rating means a community can recover faster.

Building value exposed: $105B · Agriculture value exposed: $143M · Risk-adjusted yearly loss: $117M

Risk by hazard

  • Strong windVery High$11.49M/yr expected annual loss, about 6.0 events a year
  • TornadoRelatively High$30.95M/yr expected annual loss, about once every 2 years
  • HailRelatively High$7.39M/yr expected annual loss, about 6.1 events a year
  • Heat waveRelatively High$10.71M/yr expected annual loss, about 7.3 events a year
  • DroughtRelatively High$3.07M/yr expected annual loss, about 6.5 events a year
  • Ice stormRelatively High$1.36M/yr expected annual loss, about once every 1 year
  • Cold waveRelatively High$9.77M/yr expected annual loss, about 6.0 events a year
  • Winter weatherRelatively High$506K/yr expected annual loss, about 14 events a year
  • LightningRelatively Moderate$816K/yr expected annual loss, about 44 events a year
  • LandslideRelatively Low$6,139/yr expected annual loss, about once every 8 years
  • EarthquakeRelatively Low$820K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 1,647 years
  • WildfireVery Low$90.75K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 3,822 years
  • HurricaneVery Low$14.29K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 101 years

Bars show the national percentile score (0 to 100) for each hazard. Dollar figures are expected annual losses to buildings, people and crops. Not rated here: avalanche, coastal flooding, riverine flooding, tsunami, volcanic activity.

Flood risk and insurance

National Flood Insurance Program and FEMA flood maps

Check the flood zone for an address

Homes with flood insurance
670 of 163,854 (0.4%)
Homes in high-risk flood zones
1,607
Insured in high-risk zones
366 (23%)
Flood claims since 1978
1,550
Claims paid since 1978
$38.52M

Flood claims paid per year

Flood claims paid per year in Polk County
  • Midwest Flooding$7.92M · 370 claims
  • Storm$1.99M · 71 claims
  • Flooding$1.47M · 189 claims
  • March 2019 Midwest Flooding$209K · 3 claims
  • Late spring storms$33.8K · 4 claims

Storm history

Since 1996: 2,144 events, 9 deaths, $440M in damage

  • Thunderstorm Wind620 · 1 death
  • Hail583
  • Heavy Rain350
  • Flood177
  • Flash Flood118 · 3 deaths
  • Lightning42
  • High Wind39
  • Tornado36
  • Drought32
  • Winter Storm31 · 1 death

Events per year

Storm events per year in Polk County

68 tornadoes on record (EF0 6, EF1 6, EF2 5, F0 25, F1 10, F2 8, F4 2).

Most damaging storms

Since 1996, ranked by deaths, injuries and damage

  • TornadoF2, 18.3 mi path, 150 yd wide06/29/1998

    Grimes, Polk County

    83 injured, $10.07M damage

    What happened

    A complex weather situation was set up over the central U.S. as a mesoscale convective system passed to the south of Iowa during the overnight hours and early morning of the 29th. Initially, the surface warm front was located to the south of this system. That was not actually the case aloft however. During the predawn hours the surface front surged north and by sunrise was located across northeast Nebraska across northern Iowa. The airmass was very unstable to the south of the front with dew point temperatures will in the 70s F. The initial development of thunderstorms took place during the early part of the day over northeast Nebraska. The storms became severe quickly as they moved and developed eastward into Iowa. By mid morning, the storms had formed a nearly east to west line. Storm relative inflow into the line was around 40 knots. The storms produced a variety of severe weather across Iowa. They initially moved east across the northern and central counties, but then began sinking sinking southeast. The dominant severe weather with the storms was extremely high winds. Damage was very widespread across the state. Winds in excess of 100 MPH were reported with...

  • Thunderstorm Wind104 kt wind06/29/1998

    Des Moines, Polk County

    40 injured, $40M damage

    What happened

    A complex weather situation was set up over the central U.S. as a mesoscale convective system passed to the south of Iowa during the overnight hours and early morning of the 29th. Initially, the surface warm front was located to the south of this system. That was not actually the case aloft however. During the predawn hours the surface front surged north and by sunrise was located across northeast Nebraska across northern Iowa. The airmass was very unstable to the south of the front with dew point temperatures will in the 70s F. The initial development of thunderstorms took place during the early part of the day over northeast Nebraska. The storms became severe quickly as they moved and developed eastward into Iowa. By mid morning, the storms had formed a nearly east to west line. Storm relative inflow into the line was around 40 knots. The storms produced a variety of severe weather across Iowa. They initially moved east across the northern and central counties, but then began sinking sinking southeast. The dominant severe weather with the storms was extremely high winds. Damage was very widespread across the state. Winds in excess of 100 MPH were reported with...

  • TornadoEF2, 13.62 mi path, 400 yd wide03/06/2022

    Avon, Polk County

    $75M damage

    What happened

    This tornado passed from Warren county into Polk county near the intersection of Highway 69 and County Line Road. The tornado crossed E Pine Avenue removing the roof of a house and then clipped the north edge of Avon producing EF2 damage to a couple of houses. The tornado then crossed the Des Moines River and impacted the Woodland Hills neighborhood damaging muliple structures. The damage continued to the northeast into less inhabited areas of eastern Polk county, however the tornado remained strong with EF2 damage at several locations along its path. The tornado crossed University Avenue near its intersection with NE 112th Street and then exited the county into Jasper county.

  • Flood06/01/2008

    Pleasant Hill, Polk County

    $50.1M damage

    What happened

    Iowa came off of a very wet May, only to be followed by a near record wet June. Some of the flooding along Iowa's rivers continued from May into June. Heavy rains fell on a nearly daily basis somewhere in Iowa through the first half of the month. The first series of heavy rain events caused flooding over a large part of Iowa. Some of the flooding began as flash flooding, then transitioned into general river flooding. A considerable amount of agricultural land was put under water due to the extensive river flooding. This began what would be a catastrophic loss in agricultural production.

  • Drought07/01/2012

    Polk

    $45M damage

    What happened

    Very warm and dry weather that began in the spring continued into the summer. Temperatures warmed sharply the last few days of June. The heat persisted into July. Temperatures for the month of July were among the warmest on record. In Des Moines, the monthly mean temperature was the second highest of record, only eclipsed by July of 1936. Rainfall was in short supply across the state. Much of the state recorded less than 50% of normal rainfall for the month, with a few locations under 10% of normal. In addition, extended periods of temperatures above 95 F resulted in problems with pollination of the crops. Rapid deterioration of the corn and soybean crop took place with several periods of temperatures in excess of 100 degrees. By the end of the month, officials estimated that 20% of the crop yield had been lost to the drought. At the current price, the loss total was in excess of $2.25 billion. As of 31 July, the USDA reported that Secretarial Primary Drought Designations had been listed for 21 counties in the Des Moines CWA, with 11 receiving Contiguous Designation. The primary counties were Butler, Bremer, Hamilton, Hardin, Grundy, Black Hawk, Boone, Story,...

  • Drought08/01/2013

    Polk

    $21M damage

    What happened

    Serious drought conditions gripped the state through the summer months. Initial sub-soil moisture was good at the beginning of the growing season. The recharged soil was sufficient to maintain the crops through a good part of the summer. Rainfall remained low through August as well and crops deteriorated rapidly under the warmer than normal and very dry conditions. Rainfall for the summer was between 1/3 and 2/3rds of normal across much of the Des Moines CWA. A large part of the CWA received under 5% of normal rainfall in August, with most areas under 20%. Crop loss through the month was around 10%. This translated to over $600 million in crop loss for the corn crop, and about $350 million for soybeans.

Latest storm reports

Newest first

  • Heavy Snow02/20/2026

    Polk

  • Thunderstorm Wind56 kt wind07/30/2025

    Capitol Hgts, Polk County

    $50K damage

  • Thunderstorm Wind50 kt wind07/28/2025

    Urbandale, Polk County

    $1,500 damage

  • Thunderstorm Wind55 kt wind07/24/2025

    Bondurant, Polk County

    $7,000 damage

  • Thunderstorm Wind53 kt wind07/24/2025

    Elkhart, Polk County

  • Flash Flood07/21/2025

    Ashawa, Polk County

    $20K damage

  • Thunderstorm Wind58 kt wind07/11/2025

    Elkhart, Polk County

  • Thunderstorm Wind61 kt wind07/11/2025

    Altoona, Polk County

Drinking water

38 community water systems serve about 565,553 people. Violations since 2021.

2 systems had health-based violations, such as a contaminant over the legal limit or a missed treatment step. 5 systems had a violation of any kind still open at last report.

Largest systems by population served. Monitoring and reporting violations mean required tests or notices were late or missing, not that the water was unsafe.

Climate

1991-2020 normals at Ankeny, 5.4 mi from the county center

Summer highs peak around 86°F in Jul and winter lows bottom out near 12°F in Jan. About 37.1 inches of rain falls in a typical year, with 24.7 inches of snow.

MonthHighLowRainSnow
Jan30°F12°F0.97 in6.2 in
Feb34°F16°F0.99 in8.0 in
Mar47°F27°F2.01 in3.7 in
Apr61°F38°F4.00 in0.7 in
May72°F50°F5.26 in-
Jun82°F61°F5.37 in-
Jul86°F65°F4.19 in-
Aug84°F62°F4.72 in-
Sep77°F53°F3.62 in-
Oct64°F41°F2.67 in0.6 in
Nov48°F29°F1.86 in1.0 in
Dec35°F18°F1.39 in4.5 in
Year50°F average37.1 in24.7 in

Pollution sites

3 Superfund sites and 32 toxic release facilities in Polk County

Superfund sites

Toxic release facilities

Total: 801,470 lbs in 2024, 644,228 lbs to air.

Superfund sitesToxic release facilitiesEPA inspections and enforcementAir toxics cancer risk148 historic places

Frequently asked questions

How risky is Polk County for natural disasters?
FEMA rates Polk County relatively moderate for overall natural hazard risk, with expected losses of $138M a year. The highest-rated hazards are strong wind (very high), tornado (relatively high), hail (relatively high).
What storms are most common in Polk County?
Since 1996, NOAA recorded 2,144 storm events affecting Polk County, most often thunderstorm wind (620), hail (583), heavy rain (350).
How many tornadoes have hit Polk County?
68 tornadoes have been recorded in Polk County since 1950, including 2 rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
How many homes in Polk County have flood insurance?
670 residential flood insurance policies are in force in Polk County, covering about 0.4% of homes. The program has paid $38.52M on 1,550 claims here since 1978.
What is the weather like in Polk County?
At Ankeny, average highs reach 86°F in Jul and lows fall to 12°F in Jan, with 37.1 inches of rain a year (1991-2020 normals).

Source: FEMA (National Risk Index, NFIP), NOAA (Storm Events, HURDAT2, Climate Normals), EPA · Last updated 08/01/2026 · Storm counts include events in forecast zones that touch the county. This product uses the FEMA OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA.