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Risk: Very Low

Wayne County, IA Environment & Hazard Risk

Very Low natural hazard risk, led by drought. 433 storm events since 1996.

Expected yearly loss
$5.94M
Very Low nationally
Storm events since 1996
433
Most often thunderstorm wind
Hurricanes nearby
0
Since 1851

Natural hazard risk

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025

Overall risk

Very Low

Score 22.0 of 100

Social vulnerability

Relatively High

Score 73.9 of 100

Community resilience

Relatively Moderate

Score 46.2 of 100

Community resilience runs the other way: a higher rating means a community can recover faster.

Building value exposed: $1.54B · Agriculture value exposed: $118M · Risk-adjusted yearly loss: $8.09M

Risk by hazard

  • DroughtRelatively High$1.92M/yr expected annual loss, about 14 events a year
  • LandslideVery Low$1,532/yr expected annual loss, about once every 5 years
  • TornadoRelatively Low$1.13M/yr expected annual loss, about once every 3 years
  • Heat waveRelatively Low$326K/yr expected annual loss, about 7.7 events a year
  • HailRelatively Low$213K/yr expected annual loss, about 5.0 events a year
  • Cold waveRelatively Low$594K/yr expected annual loss, about 4.5 events a year
  • WildfireVery Low$24.18K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 843 years
  • Strong windRelatively Low$318K/yr expected annual loss, about 4.7 events a year
  • Ice stormRelatively Low$36.6K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 3 years
  • EarthquakeVery Low$22.36K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 1,092 years
  • Winter weatherVery Low$7,464/yr expected annual loss, about 11 events a year
  • LightningVery Low$29.1K/yr expected annual loss, about 46 events a year
  • HurricaneVery Low$1,130/yr expected annual loss, about once every 165 years

Bars show the national percentile score (0 to 100) for each hazard. Dollar figures are expected annual losses to buildings, people and crops. Not rated here: avalanche, coastal flooding, riverine flooding, tsunami, volcanic activity.

Flood risk and insurance

National Flood Insurance Program and FEMA flood maps

Check the flood zone for an address

Homes in high-risk flood zones
3

Storm history

Since 1996: 433 events, 0 deaths, $150M in damage

  • Thunderstorm Wind69
  • Hail68
  • Flood61
  • Heavy Rain61
  • Flash Flood27
  • Drought26
  • Heavy Snow22
  • Winter Storm21
  • High Wind18
  • Ice Storm16

Events per year

Storm events per year in Wayne County
26
45
15
29
9
6
18
16
22
8
9
11
24
6
11
9
10
11
3

33 tornadoes on record (EF0 4, EF1 2, EF2 3, F0 5, F1 6, F2 8, F4 4).

Most damaging storms

Since 1996, ranked by deaths, injuries and damage

  • Flood09/22/2010

    Confidence, Wayne County

    50 injured, $10K damage

    What happened

    A strong weather system moved through the central U.S. from the 21st through the 23rd of the month. Strong convection formed north of a warm frontal boundary lifting north through the state. A cold front dropped southeast, producing severe weather on the 21st before it stalled out to the south of the state. As it lifted northward, deep moisture was transported into the upper Midwest as the remnants of a former eastern Pacific Hurricane was drawn north. The tropical moisture resulted in heavy rainfall over a large part of Iowa again on the 23rd, with some places in southern Minnesota receiving 6 to 10 inches of rain. The rainfall from Minnesota flowed down the Des Moines River and produced flooding as far south as Humboldt. The heavy rain that fell over Iowa during this event caused flooding farther south on the mainstem Des Moines, and on the South Fork Chariton River. The flooding caused some property damage and minor crop damage. Since much of the summer saw very elevated river levels, the flooding caused less damage than would be otherwise expected.

  • Drought07/01/2012

    Wayne

    $45M damage

    What happened

    Very warm and dry weather that began in the spring continued into the summer. Temperatures warmed sharply the last few days of June. The heat persisted into July. Temperatures for the month of July were among the warmest on record. In Des Moines, the monthly mean temperature was the second highest of record, only eclipsed by July of 1936. Rainfall was in short supply across the state. Much of the state recorded less than 50% of normal rainfall for the month, with a few locations under 10% of normal. In addition, extended periods of temperatures above 95 F resulted in problems with pollination of the crops. Rapid deterioration of the corn and soybean crop took place with several periods of temperatures in excess of 100 degrees. By the end of the month, officials estimated that 20% of the crop yield had been lost to the drought. At the current price, the loss total was in excess of $2.25 billion. As of 31 July, the USDA reported that Secretarial Primary Drought Designations had been listed for 21 counties in the Des Moines CWA, with 11 receiving Contiguous Designation. The primary counties were Butler, Bremer, Hamilton, Hardin, Grundy, Black Hawk, Boone, Story,...

  • Drought08/01/2013

    Wayne

    $21M damage

    What happened

    Serious drought conditions gripped the state through the summer months. Initial sub-soil moisture was good at the beginning of the growing season. The recharged soil was sufficient to maintain the crops through a good part of the summer. Rainfall remained low through August as well and crops deteriorated rapidly under the warmer than normal and very dry conditions. Rainfall for the summer was between 1/3 and 2/3rds of normal across much of the Des Moines CWA. A large part of the CWA received under 5% of normal rainfall in August, with most areas under 20%. Crop loss through the month was around 10%. This translated to over $600 million in crop loss for the corn crop, and about $350 million for soybeans.

  • Flood06/12/2010

    Humeston, Wayne County

    $20M damage

    What happened

    Heavy rainfall during the month of June caused considerable crop losses across the state. Crop damage was done through a combination of inundation flooding and losses due to crops not being able to be planted or rotting in the ground. It is not possible to get a clear breakdown of the percent of damage that can be attributed to each cause. The damage here is not related to the river flooding. Those flooding events are addressed in other flooding entries. Many of the southern Iowa counties were unable to plant crops at all through June, while areas of the central and north lost the crops that were planted through drowning or washouts. Estimates from the state and county extension offices indicated that about 10% of the crop was lost across the state. The amount of loss in the DMX CWA was around $1 billion to the corn and soybean crop. By the end of the month, Iowa Governor Culver declared 32 counties state disaster areas. They were Black Hawk, Buena Vista, Butler, Cherokee, Clay, Davis, Decatur, Emmet, Franklin, Hamilton, Hancock, Howard, Humboldt, Jasper, Jefferson, Kossuth, Lee, Lyon, Mahaska, Madison, Marion, Monroe, O'Brien, Osceola, Palo Alto, Polk, Ringgold,...

  • Drought08/01/2003

    Wayne

    $12.65M damage

    What happened

    Dry weather settled in over Iowa during the month. The last widespread rain occurred on 09 July. With the increasingly dry conditions became a primary concern as the month progressed. An extended period of heat and humidity from the 15th to 25th saw highs into the 90s to over 100 degrees F. in some locations. By month's end drought indices had worsened to severe to extreme drought across south central Iowa and at least moderate drought over the remainder of the HSA. Waterloo had its driest August on record, Des Moines its 3rd driest and Ottumwa its 8th driest. A cold front brought only a brief respite from the intense heat, as temperatures rebounded into the 90s to near 100 degrees F. on the 24-26th. Des Moines Airport reached the century mark for the first time since July 29, 1999, reaching 100 F. on the 24th and 101 F. on the 25th. This was followed by a slow cool down as several pushes of cooler air traversed the state. Unfortunately there was only widely scattered convection across the HSA on the 27th and 28th, providing little significant drought relief. Light to moderate rainfall on the 31st fell across primarily the southern one half of the HSA, with the heaviest...

  • Drought08/01/2001

    Wayne

    $11.35M damage

    What happened

    In what became a rather tough growing season, drought developed in Iowa during the month of July, and became serious in August. During the early part of the growing season, excessive rainfall caused significant planting delays across the state. Once the crop was planted, cool and cloudy weather settled into the state slowing crop maturation. Once the warm weather finally arrived, rainfall tailed off significantly. Very little rainfall was reported during the month of July, however crops flourished with the moisture that was available. During the last half of July, temperatures began to soar into the 90s quite regularly. Temperatures were in the 90s to around 100 for most of the first 10 to 12 days of August with virtually no rainfall. Moisture reserves ran out during the critical time of pod filling for the soybeans and at the tasseling for the corn. Another factor that complicated the situation was the soil moisture profile over central and southwest Iowa. After two years of drought, rain began falling during the last fall of 2000 and continued into the spring of 2001. Though soil moisture was replenished in part, a layer of dry soil remained below the moistened...

Latest storm reports

Newest first

  • Thunderstorm Wind78 kt wind08/07/2025

    Lineville, Wayne County

  • High Wind52 kt wind03/05/2025

    Wayne

  • Winter Storm02/12/2025

    Wayne

  • Thunderstorm Wind50 kt wind06/26/2024

    Corydon, Wayne County

  • Hail1.75" hail05/24/2024

    Humeston, Wayne County

  • Hail2.5" hail05/24/2024

    Humeston, Wayne County

  • Hail2" hail05/24/2024

    Humeston, Wayne County

  • Hail2.75" hail05/24/2024

    Humeston, Wayne County

Drinking water

6 community water systems serve about 36,392 people. Violations since 2021.

None of the systems serving this county had a health-based violation in this period.

Largest systems by population served. Monitoring and reporting violations mean required tests or notices were late or missing, not that the water was unsafe.

Climate

1991-2020 normals at Allerton, 3.2 mi from the county center

Summer highs peak around 85°F in Jul and winter lows bottom out near 13°F in Jan. About 40.4 inches of rain falls in a typical year.

MonthHighLowRain
Jan32°F13°F1.06 in
Feb37°F17°F1.52 in
Mar49°F28°F2.38 in
Apr62°F38°F4.01 in
May71°F50°F5.65 in
Jun80°F60°F5.14 in
Jul85°F64°F4.73 in
Aug83°F62°F4.86 in
Sep76°F54°F4.20 in
Oct64°F41°F3.09 in
Nov49°F28°F2.15 in
Dec37°F19°F1.62 in
Year50°F average40.4 in

Pollution sites

0 Superfund sites and 2 toxic release facilities in Wayne County

Superfund sites

None in this county.

Toxic release facilities

Total: 665 lbs in 2024, under 1 lb to air.

Superfund sitesToxic release facilitiesEPA inspections and enforcementAir toxics cancer risk3 historic places

Frequently asked questions

How risky is Wayne County for natural disasters?
FEMA rates Wayne County very low for overall natural hazard risk, with expected losses of $5.94M a year. The highest-rated hazards are drought (relatively high), landslide (very low), tornado (relatively low).
What storms are most common in Wayne County?
Since 1996, NOAA recorded 433 storm events affecting Wayne County, most often thunderstorm wind (69), hail (68), flood (61).
How many tornadoes have hit Wayne County?
33 tornadoes have been recorded in Wayne County since 1950, including 4 rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
What is the weather like in Wayne County?
At Allerton, average highs reach 85°F in Jul and lows fall to 13°F in Jan, with 40.4 inches of rain a year (1991-2020 normals).

Source: FEMA (National Risk Index, NFIP), NOAA (Storm Events, HURDAT2, Climate Normals), EPA · Last updated 08/01/2026 · Storm counts include events in forecast zones that touch the county. This product uses the FEMA OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA.