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Risk: Relatively Moderate

Williamson County, TN Environment & Hazard Risk

Relatively Moderate natural hazard risk, led by cold wave. 877 storm events since 1996.

Expected yearly loss
$98.02M
Relatively Moderate nationally
Storm events since 1996
877
Most often thunderstorm wind
Flood insurance policies
1,284
2.4% of homes
Hurricanes nearby
0
2 tropical storms or stronger since 1934

Natural hazard risk

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025

Overall risk

Relatively Moderate

Score 85.1 of 100

Social vulnerability

Very Low

Score 10.6 of 100

Community resilience

Very High

Score 95.2 of 100

Community resilience runs the other way: a higher rating means a community can recover faster.

Building value exposed: $61.39B · Agriculture value exposed: $39.79M · Risk-adjusted yearly loss: $58.71M

Risk by hazard

  • Cold waveRelatively High$13.41M/yr expected annual loss, about 1.2 events a year
  • EarthquakeRelatively Low$8.48M/yr expected annual loss, about once every 298 years
  • Strong windRelatively High$3.37M/yr expected annual loss, about 6.1 events a year
  • TornadoRelatively Moderate$11.55M/yr expected annual loss, about once every 2 years
  • Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$469K/yr expected annual loss, about 5.2 events a year
  • Ice stormRelatively High$1.01M/yr expected annual loss, about once every 2 years
  • Heat waveRelatively Low$1.78M/yr expected annual loss, about 4.9 events a year
  • LandslideVery Low$3,157/yr expected annual loss, about once every 1 year
  • LightningRelatively Low$468K/yr expected annual loss, about 61 events a year
  • HailRelatively Low$332K/yr expected annual loss, about 3.5 events a year
  • HurricaneVery Low$55.4K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 62 years
  • WildfireVery Low$44.66K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 21,258 years
  • DroughtRelatively Low$77.21K/yr expected annual loss, about 9.6 events a year

Bars show the national percentile score (0 to 100) for each hazard. Dollar figures are expected annual losses to buildings, people and crops. Not rated here: avalanche, coastal flooding, riverine flooding, tsunami, volcanic activity.

Flood risk and insurance

National Flood Insurance Program and FEMA flood maps

Check the flood zone for an address

Homes with flood insurance
1,284 of 53,519 (2.4%)
Homes in high-risk flood zones
796
Insured in high-risk zones
687 (86%)
Flood claims since 1978
1,103
Claims paid since 1978
$31.07M

Flood claims paid per year

Flood claims paid per year in Williamson County
  • Late spring storms$18.17M · 431 claims
  • Heavy rains$426K · 44 claims
  • Central U.S. April Flooding$84.54K · 4 claims
  • Tennessee Flooding$26.4K · 1 claim
  • Flooding$26.05K · 7 claims
  • Early winter storms$5,872 · 1 claim

Storm history

Since 1996: 877 events, 7 deaths, $33.25M in damage

  • Thunderstorm Wind404 · 6 deaths
  • Hail184
  • Flash Flood80 · 1 death
  • Winter Weather44
  • Lightning31
  • Drought29
  • Flood25
  • Tornado19
  • Winter Storm17
  • Strong Wind9

Events per year

Storm events per year in Williamson County
15
10
13
28
18
51
57
33
30
53
56
25
35
29
29
40
48
37
75
20

26 tornadoes on record (EF0 11, EF1 1, EF2 1, F0 4, F1 6, F3 2, F4 1).

Most damaging storms

Since 1996, ranked by deaths, injuries and damage

  • Thunderstorm Wind43 kt wind07/20/2026

    Mudsink, Williamson County

    2 deaths, $20K damage

    What happened

    A tree fell onto a vehicle during a strong thunderstorm in Franklin. Unfortunately, the two occupants in the vehicle were killed while traveling on Carothers Parkway near South Carothers Road. Very heavy rain was occurring at the time, and Tennessee Highway Patrol reported that the tree was rotted.

  • Flash Flood05/01/2010

    Peytonsville, Williamson County

    1 death, $51K damage

    What happened

    Flash flooding was reported along Peytonsville Road. Portions of Peytonsville Road had fallen into a nearby creek. Also, a fatality occurred when a man drove his vehicle into Garrison Creek at 12:30 PM CST.

  • Thunderstorm Wind50 kt wind10/12/2022

    Forest Home, Williamson County

    1 death, $10K damage

    What happened

    Strong thunderstorm winds downed a tree onto a vehicle on Old Natchez Trace northwest of Franklin. A 22-year-old woman who was driving at the time was killed.

  • Flood05/02/2010

    Nolensville, Williamson County

    $10M damage

    What happened

    Nolensville road, south of Nashville, was flooded. Some cars were left abandoned. Details concerning amount of damage to cars abandoned were unknown. Also, numerous homes, numerous businesses, numerous non comercial buildings, along with several county, state, and federal roads across the county received damage due to the flood.

  • Thunderstorm Wind56 kt wind05/03/2020

    Harpeth, Williamson County

    1 death

    What happened

    A tree fell onto and killed a man near Bethesda Road at Highway 431 who was outside playing with his daughter along a creek.

  • Thunderstorm Wind55 kt wind04/27/2011

    Mudsink, Williamson County

    1 death

    What happened

    A woman was struck in the head by a fallen tree limb and then died 24 hours later.

Latest storm reports

Newest first

  • Flash Flood07/22/2026

    Berrys Chapel, Williamson County

  • Flash Flood07/20/2026

    Mallorys, Williamson County

  • Thunderstorm Wind43 kt wind07/20/2026

    Mudsink, Williamson County

    2 deaths, $20K damage

  • Flash Flood07/17/2026

    Mallorys, Williamson County

  • Flash Flood07/17/2026

    Mudsink, Williamson County

  • Flash Flood07/08/2026

    Mallorys, Williamson County

    $50K damage

  • Flood07/04/2026

    Mallorys, Williamson County

  • Flash Flood07/03/2026

    Mallorys, Williamson County

Hurricanes and tropical storms

Storms whose track crossed Williamson County, with the wind when it passed

Drinking water

7 community water systems serve about 252,925 people. Violations since 2021.

1 system had health-based violations, such as a contaminant over the legal limit or a missed treatment step. 1 system had a violation of any kind still open at last report.

Largest systems by population served. Monitoring and reporting violations mean required tests or notices were late or missing, not that the water was unsafe.

Climate

1991-2020 normals at Franklin Sewage Plt, 5.2 mi from the county center

Summer highs peak around 91°F in Jul and winter lows bottom out near 29°F in Jan. About 53.8 inches of rain falls in a typical year, with 1.7 inches of snow.

MonthHighLowRainSnow
Jan49°F29°F4.25 in0.9 in
Feb53°F31°F4.76 in0.3 in
Mar62°F38°F5.16 in0.4 in
Apr72°F46°F5.16 in-
May80°F55°F5.39 in-
Jun87°F64°F4.39 in-
Jul91°F69°F4.57 in-
Aug90°F67°F3.61 in-
Sep85°F60°F4.00 in-
Oct74°F47°F3.47 in-
Nov62°F37°F3.83 in-
Dec53°F32°F5.20 in0.1 in
Year60°F average53.8 in1.7 in

Pollution sites

0 Superfund sites and 5 toxic release facilities in Williamson County

Superfund sites

None in this county.

Toxic release facilities

Total: 71,147 lbs in 2024, 40,854 lbs to air.

Superfund sitesToxic release facilitiesEPA inspections and enforcementAir toxics cancer risk95 historic places

Frequently asked questions

How risky is Williamson County for natural disasters?
FEMA rates Williamson County relatively moderate for overall natural hazard risk, with expected losses of $98.02M a year. The highest-rated hazards are cold wave (relatively high), earthquake (relatively low), strong wind (relatively high).
What storms are most common in Williamson County?
Since 1996, NOAA recorded 877 storm events affecting Williamson County, most often thunderstorm wind (404), hail (184), flash flood (80).
How many tornadoes have hit Williamson County?
26 tornadoes have been recorded in Williamson County since 1950, including 3 rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
How many homes in Williamson County have flood insurance?
1,284 residential flood insurance policies are in force in Williamson County, covering about 2.4% of homes. The program has paid $31.07M on 1,103 claims here since 1978.
What is the weather like in Williamson County?
At Franklin Sewage Plt, average highs reach 91°F in Jul and lows fall to 29°F in Jan, with 53.8 inches of rain a year (1991-2020 normals).

Source: FEMA (National Risk Index, NFIP), NOAA (Storm Events, HURDAT2, Climate Normals), EPA · Last updated 08/01/2026 · Storm counts include events in forecast zones that touch the county. This product uses the FEMA OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA.