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Risk: Very Low

Carson County, TX Environment & Hazard Risk

Very Low natural hazard risk, led by drought. 996 storm events since 1996.

Expected yearly loss
$11.5M
Very Low nationally
Storm events since 1996
996
Most often hail
Flood insurance policies
9
0.3% of homes
Hurricanes nearby
0
Since 1851

Natural hazard risk

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025

Overall risk

Very Low

Score 25.2 of 100

Social vulnerability

Very Low

Score 11.4 of 100

Community resilience

Relatively High

Score 71.3 of 100

Community resilience runs the other way: a higher rating means a community can recover faster.

Building value exposed: $2.1B · Agriculture value exposed: $118M · Risk-adjusted yearly loss: $8.9M

Risk by hazard

  • DroughtRelatively High$5.9M/yr expected annual loss, about 83 events a year
  • WildfireRelatively Low$1.1M/yr expected annual loss, about once every 146 years
  • HailRelatively Moderate$1.2M/yr expected annual loss, about 9.2 events a year
  • Winter weatherRelatively Low$124K/yr expected annual loss, about 10 events a year
  • TornadoRelatively Low$1.2M/yr expected annual loss, about once every 1 year
  • Strong windRelatively Low$467K/yr expected annual loss, about 3.5 events a year
  • Ice stormRelatively Low$43K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 3 years
  • Cold waveRelatively Low$512K/yr expected annual loss, about 2.5 events a year
  • EarthquakeVery Low$60.3K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 950 years
  • LightningVery Low$57.7K/yr expected annual loss, about 49 events a year
  • Heat waveVery Low$26.1K/yr expected annual loss, about 1.7 events a year
  • LandslideVery Low$2/yr expected annual loss, about once every 8 years

Bars show the national percentile score (0 to 100) for each hazard. Dollar figures are expected annual losses to buildings, people and crops. Not rated here: avalanche, coastal flooding, hurricane, riverine flooding, tsunami, volcanic activity.

Flood risk and insurance

National Flood Insurance Program and FEMA flood maps

Check the flood zone for an address

Homes with flood insurance
9 of 2,974 (0.3%)
Homes in high-risk flood zones
0
Flood claims since 1978
3
Claims paid since 1978
$36.3K

Flood claims paid per year

Flood claims paid per year in Carson County
Beta

Storm history

Since 1996: 996 events, 5 deaths, $204M in damage

  • Hail473
  • Thunderstorm Wind154
  • High Wind79
  • Drought70
  • Wildfire43
  • Tornado40
  • Winter Weather27 · 3 deaths
  • Heavy Snow17
  • Cold/Wind Chill17
  • Flash Flood16
Beta

Events per year

Storm events per year in Carson County
40
32
57
22
9
28
59
43
42
47
32
38
39
33
28
37
39
20
25
15
Beta

92 tornadoes on record (EF0 9, EF1 1, EF2 3, F0 54, F1 10, F2 7, F3 3, F4 1).

Most damaging storms

Since 1996, ranked by deaths, injuries and damage

  • Wildfire03/12/2006

    Carson

    $57.2M damage

    What happened

    The wildfire known as the Borger wildfire started four miles southeast of Borger on the Burnett (6666) Ranch property. This wildfire was caused by downed power lines due to the strong gradient southwesterly winds. The wildfire burned four hundred and seventy-nine thousand five hundred and forty-nine acres. Twenty eight structures were lost and seven people were killed. This fire burned into southeast Hutchinson County...northwest Gray County...through central Roberts County and finally into western Hemphill County. The second wildfire known as the Interstate 40 wildfire burned four hundred and twenty-seven thousand six hundred and ninety-six acres. This wildfire started four miles east of Groom near Boydston and was also caused by downed power lines from the strong gradient southwesterly winds. Eighty vehicles and eighty outbuildings were destroyed. Nine fire fighters were injured and one of those injured fire fighters died about a month later. Four people were killed in a nine vehicle accident on Interstate 40. The Texas Forest Service named the two wildfires the East Amarillo Complex which killed approximately five thousand head of livestock. Over forty structures were...

  • Drought11/01/2012

    Carson

    $30M damage

    What happened

    A dry November caused the ongoing drought conditions to worsen across the Texas Panhandle. Exceptional (D4) drought affects the majority of the north Texas Panhandle including Carson County. Extreme (D3) drought affects most of the southern Texas Panhandle minus the southeastern corner of the Texas Panhandle. Severe (D2) drought affects parts of the southeastern corner of the Texas Panhandle. ||There were very few opportunities for the Texas Panhandle to see any relief in the form of precipitation and even fewer locations saw any precipitation during the month of November. The only reason the entire Texas Panhandle is not under D3 and D4 Drought is because of the convection that developed over the southeastern Texas Panhandle on November 10th. Amarillo recorded 0.01 inches of precipitation for November (0.79 inches below normal), Dalhart recorded 0.00 inches (0.58 inches below normal), and Borger recorded a trace of precipitation (0.84 inches below normal). This lack of rain placed this November as the 9th driest for the Texas High Plains region on record. Also this November was the 7th warmest November for the Texas High Plains region on record. ||The dry conditions and...

  • Drought12/01/2012

    Carson

    $25M damage

    What happened

    The month of December provided a few opportunities for improvement in drought conditions across the Texas Panhandle, but fell short of showing significant improvement. Exceptional (D4) drought affects the majority of the north Texas Panhandle including Carson County. Extreme (D3) drought affects most of the southern Texas Panhandle minus the southeastern corner of the Texas Panhandle. Severe (D2) drought affects parts of the southeastern corner of the Texas Panhandle.||Multiple snow events and one severe event provided the Texas Panhandle with some much needed moisture. Amarillo recorded 0.54 inches of precipitation for December (0.17 inches below normal), Dalhart recorded 0.31 inches (0.23 inches below normal), and Borger recorded 0.50 inches of precipitation (0.27 inches below normal). Overall this month ranked as the 31th warmest and 51st wettest December on record for the Texas High Plains region. As December came to an end so did the warmest 1 year, 2 year, and 3 year period on record for the Texas High Plains.||Limited dormant fuels remain in prime condition for the spread of fires across the Panhandle. But given the recent wetting rains a very marginal improvement was...

  • Drought01/01/2013

    Carson

    $20M damage

    What happened

    The month of January provided some much needed precipitation for the southern Texas Panhandle. Exceptional (D4) drought affects the far northern Texas Panhandle including Moore County. Extreme (D3) drought affects most of the central and south central Texas Panhandle. Severe (D2) drought affects parts of the southeastern and southwestern corners of the Texas Panhandle. ||Several snow events provided the Texas Panhandle with some much needed moisture. Amarillo recorded 0.76 inches of precipitation for January (0.04 inches above normal), Dalhart recorded 0.17 inches (0.35 inches below normal), and Borger recorded 0.81 inches of precipitation (0.22 inches above normal). Overall this month ranked as the 54th warmest and 30th wettest January on record for the Texas High Plains region. ||Limited dormant fuels remain in prime condition for the spread of fires across the Panhandle. Given the several wetting rain events for the month the Keetch-Byram Drought Index showed continued improvement for the Texas Panhandle. Dallam, Hartley, and Lipscomb are the only Texas Panhandle counties remaining within the 600 to 800 range. The rest of the area stayed relatively steady state within the...

  • Drought05/01/2013

    Carson

    $15M damage

    What happened

    Extreme drought as seen on the drought monitor.

  • Drought06/01/2013

    Carson

    $12M damage

    What happened

    Half extreme drought, and half severe drought.

Drinking water

4 community water systems serve about 4,144 people. Violations since 2021.

2 systems had health-based violations, such as a contaminant over the legal limit or a missed treatment step. 1 system had a violation of any kind still open at last report.

Largest systems by population served. Monitoring and reporting violations mean required tests or notices were late or missing, not that the water was unsafe.

Pollution sites

1 Superfund site and 1 toxic release facility in Carson County

Superfund sites

Toxic release facilities

Total: 3,460 lbs in 2024, 2.2 lbs to air.

Superfund sitesToxic release facilitiesEPA inspections and enforcementAir toxics cancer risk3 historic places

Frequently asked questions

How risky is Carson County for natural disasters?
FEMA rates Carson County very low for overall natural hazard risk, with expected losses of $11.5M a year. The highest-rated hazards are drought (relatively high), wildfire (relatively low), hail (relatively moderate).
What storms are most common in Carson County?
Since 1996, NOAA recorded 996 storm events affecting Carson County, most often hail (473), thunderstorm wind (154), high wind (79).
How many tornadoes have hit Carson County?
92 tornadoes have been recorded in Carson County since 1950, including 4 rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
How many homes in Carson County have flood insurance?
9 residential flood insurance policies are in force in Carson County, covering about 0.3% of homes. The program has paid $36.3K on 3 claims here since 1978.
What is the weather like in Carson County?
At Panhandle, average highs reach 93°F in Jul and lows fall to 24°F in Jan, with 21.1 inches of rain a year (1991-2020 normals).

Source: FEMA (National Risk Index, NFIP), NOAA (Storm Events, HURDAT2, Climate Normals), EPA · Last updated 08/01/2026 · Storm counts include events in forecast zones that touch the county. This product uses the FEMA OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA.

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