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Risk: Very Low

Mitchell County, TX Environment & Hazard Risk

Very Low natural hazard risk, led by drought. 396 storm events since 1996.

Expected yearly loss
$5.8M
Very Low nationally
Storm events since 1996
396
Most often hail
Flood insurance policies
2
0.1% of homes
Hurricanes nearby
0
1 tropical storm or stronger since 1886

Natural hazard risk

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025

Overall risk

Very Low

Score 19.8 of 100

Social vulnerability

Relatively High

Score 66.2 of 100

Community resilience

Relatively Low

Score 22.1 of 100

Community resilience runs the other way: a higher rating means a community can recover faster.

Building value exposed: $2.9B · Agriculture value exposed: $28M · Risk-adjusted yearly loss: $7.5M

Risk by hazard

  • DroughtRelatively Moderate$1.1M/yr expected annual loss, about 63 events a year
  • WildfireRelatively Low$508K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 158 years
  • HailRelatively Moderate$595K/yr expected annual loss, about 4.7 events a year
  • Strong windRelatively Moderate$777K/yr expected annual loss, about 1.8 events a year
  • Winter weatherRelatively Low$59.7K/yr expected annual loss, about 5.9 events a year
  • TornadoRelatively Low$547K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 2 years
  • Heat waveVery Low$114K/yr expected annual loss, about 6.7 events a year
  • HurricaneVery Low$6,761/yr expected annual loss, about once every 174 years
  • Cold waveVery Low$200K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 2 years
  • LightningVery Low$56.7K/yr expected annual loss, about 49 events a year
  • Ice stormVery Low$7,358/yr expected annual loss, about once every 5 years
  • EarthquakeVery Low$9,364/yr expected annual loss, about once every 2,849 years
  • LandslideVery Low$7/yr expected annual loss, about once every 10 years

Bars show the national percentile score (0 to 100) for each hazard. Dollar figures are expected annual losses to buildings, people and crops. Not rated here: avalanche, coastal flooding, riverine flooding, tsunami, volcanic activity.

Flood risk and insurance

National Flood Insurance Program and FEMA flood maps

Check the flood zone for an address

Homes with flood insurance
2 of 3,684 (0.1%)
Homes in high-risk flood zones
0
Flood claims since 1978
6
Claims paid since 1978
$52.9K

Storm history

Since 1996: 396 events, 0 deaths, $19.5M in damage

  • Hail179
  • Thunderstorm Wind95
  • Flash Flood50
  • Tornado27
  • Heavy Snow10
  • Flood8
  • High Wind7
  • Ice Storm5
  • Drought4
  • Winter Weather3
Beta

Events per year

Storm events per year in Mitchell County
16
13
9
4
5
18
6
11
8
10
27
18
7
9
19
1
14
9
11
14
Beta

55 tornadoes on record (EF0 6, EF1 1, F0 35, F1 9, F2 4).

Most damaging storms

Since 1996, ranked by deaths, injuries and damage

  • Thunderstorm Wind78 kt wind07/01/2020

    Colorado City Arpt, Mitchell County

    $7M damage

    What happened

    A thunderstorm moved across Mitchell County and produced straight-line wind damage about three miles east of Colorado City. There were five downed powerline poles along the south frontage road of I-20 between mile markers 221 and 222. An 86 car train was derailed about one mile south of the frontage road which caused a large fire. A long stretch of the track was also damaged. Based on the damage, the peak wind speeds were estimated by an NWS survey team to range between 80 to 100 mph. The cost of damage is a very rough estimate.

  • Drought08/01/1998

    Mitchell

    $5.5M damage

    What happened

    The devastating drought of 1998 that began when little or no rain fell during the normally wet spring months continued through the end of summer. The two main crops across the area, wheat and cotton, were both near total losses, with additional losses to the cattle, sheep, and goat industries. Preliminary loss figures top $150 million dollars.

  • TornadoF2, 10.3 mi path, 200 yd wide06/12/2004

    Colorado City, Mitchell County

    3 injured, $250K damage

    What happened

    A National Weather Service damage survey team concluded that a significant tornado struck rural areas of southeastern Mitchell County during the evening of the 11th. The team examined a damage path marked by shredded vegetation (mostly mesquite trees), downed utility poles, agricultural fences, and a complex of destroyed mobile homes that extended over ten miles in a continuous horseshoe shaped path that crossed State Route 208 twenty miles south-southeast of Colorado City.The tornado developed seventeen miles south-southeast of Colorado City around 2028 CST. Damage indicates the tornado's motion was initially toward the southeast then east as it crossed the heavily traveled State Route 208. Two Texas Tech University students traveling north on 208 (south of the tornado's path) watched as a Ford Expedition drove into the tornadic circulation. The large sports utility vehicle was blown 100 yards off of the highway. Evidence supports the vehicle was rolled a considerable distance by the tornadic winds, but it is unclear whether it became airborne. Three motorists were transferred to local hospitals. One person sustained serious injuries that included a broken back.A detailed...

  • Thunderstorm Wind56 kt wind09/12/2023

    Loraine, Mitchell County

    3 injured, $10K damage

    What happened

    Tractor-trailer blown over along I-20. Video shared via email. Wind speeds are estimated to be between 60 to 70 mph. Property cost damage is an estimation.

  • Thunderstorm Wind78 kt wind06/23/2017

    Loraine, Mitchell County

    $3M damage

    What happened

    A thunderstorm moved across Mitchell County and produced wind damage near Loraine. Multiple high profile train cars derailed just south of I-20 near mile marker 223 along Lucus Road. The survey team estimated that the wind speeds were roughly 90 mph through this area. The cost of damage is a very rough estimate.

  • TornadoF0, 1 mi path, 75 yd wide03/04/2004

    Loraine, Mitchell County

    1 injured, $275K damage

    What happened

    A weak tornado struck the city of Loraine resulting in one injury and damage to several light-weight structures and vehicles. Damage surveyed by a National Weather Service meteorologist began on the south side of the city near Looby Street. From there the tornado traveled northeast producing a one mile long damage path that cut across the southeast corner of the city to near Interstate 20. Along the path, a roof was partially removed from one home and several vehicles and trailers were damaged or destroyed. About $100,000 worth of musical equipment was destroyed when a cargo trailer was rolled by the tornado. The tornado began to dissipate as it crossed Interstate 20 on the east side of the city. Before doing so, it blew two semi-trucks off of the highway, injuring one driver. Several eye witnesses described seeing the tornado's condensation funnel and debris whirling beneath it.

Drinking water

5 community water systems serve about 6,906 people. Violations since 2021.

1 system had health-based violations, such as a contaminant over the legal limit or a missed treatment step. 3 systems had a violation of any kind still open at last report.

  • City of Colorado CityServes 3,991 · Groundwater · Local governmentNo health violations+1 monitoring or reporting
  • Mitchell County UtilityServes 2,136 · Groundwater · PrivateNo health violations+1 monitoring or reporting
  • City of LoraineServes 504 · Groundwater · Local government1 health violation+13 monitoring or reporting
  • City of WestbrookServes 221 · Purchased groundwater · Local governmentNo health violations+2 monitoring or reporting
  • Westbrook IsdServes 54 · Purchased groundwater · Local governmentNo health violations

Largest systems by population served. Monitoring and reporting violations mean required tests or notices were late or missing, not that the water was unsafe.

Pollution sites

0 Superfund sites and 1 toxic release facility in Mitchell County

Superfund sites

None in this county.

Toxic release facilities

Superfund sitesToxic release facilitiesEPA inspections and enforcementAir toxics cancer risk1 historic places

Frequently asked questions

How risky is Mitchell County for natural disasters?
FEMA rates Mitchell County very low for overall natural hazard risk, with expected losses of $5.8M a year. The highest-rated hazards are drought (relatively moderate), wildfire (relatively low), hail (relatively moderate).
What storms are most common in Mitchell County?
Since 1996, NOAA recorded 396 storm events affecting Mitchell County, most often hail (179), thunderstorm wind (95), flash flood (50).
How many tornadoes have hit Mitchell County?
55 tornadoes have been recorded in Mitchell County since 1950.
How many homes in Mitchell County have flood insurance?
2 residential flood insurance policies are in force in Mitchell County, covering about 0.1% of homes. The program has paid $52.9K on 6 claims here since 1978.
What is the weather like in Mitchell County?
At Colorado City, average highs reach 97°F in Jul and lows fall to 28°F in Jan, with 22.0 inches of rain a year (1991-2020 normals).

Source: FEMA (National Risk Index, NFIP), NOAA (Storm Events, HURDAT2, Climate Normals), EPA · Last updated 08/01/2026 · Storm counts include events in forecast zones that touch the county. This product uses the FEMA OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA.

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