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Risk: Relatively Low

Palo Pinto County, TX Environment & Hazard Risk

Relatively Low natural hazard risk, led by hail. 664 storm events since 1996.

Expected yearly loss
$14.71M
Relatively Low nationally
Storm events since 1996
664
Most often hail
Flood insurance policies
127
1.0% of homes
Hurricanes nearby
0
Since 1851

Natural hazard risk

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025

Overall risk

Relatively Low

Score 55.2 of 100

Social vulnerability

Relatively High

Score 69.8 of 100

Community resilience

Relatively High

Score 64.0 of 100

Community resilience runs the other way: a higher rating means a community can recover faster.

Building value exposed: $7.65B · Agriculture value exposed: $55.65M · Risk-adjusted yearly loss: $19.19M

Risk by hazard

  • HailRelatively Moderate$1.47M/yr expected annual loss, about 7.7 events a year
  • WildfireRelatively Moderate$1.15M/yr expected annual loss, about once every 178 years
  • LandslideRelatively Low$7,171/yr expected annual loss, about once every 4 years
  • Strong windRelatively Moderate$886K/yr expected annual loss, about 2.8 events a year
  • Cold waveRelatively Moderate$1.42M/yr expected annual loss, about 1.1 events a year
  • Heat waveRelatively Low$536K/yr expected annual loss, about 12 events a year
  • TornadoRelatively Low$1.52M/yr expected annual loss, about once every 1 year
  • DroughtRelatively Low$209K/yr expected annual loss, about 61 events a year
  • Winter weatherRelatively Low$64.06K/yr expected annual loss, about 4.9 events a year
  • LightningRelatively Low$159K/yr expected annual loss, about 50 events a year
  • HurricaneVery Low$32.17K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 98 years
  • Ice stormRelatively Low$40.23K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 1 year
  • EarthquakeVery Low$44.47K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 2,012 years

Bars show the national percentile score (0 to 100) for each hazard. Dollar figures are expected annual losses to buildings, people and crops. Not rated here: avalanche, coastal flooding, riverine flooding, tsunami, volcanic activity.

Flood risk and insurance

National Flood Insurance Program and FEMA flood maps

Check the flood zone for an address

Homes with flood insurance
127 of 12,521 (1.0%)
Homes in high-risk flood zones
797
Insured in high-risk zones
98 (12%)
Flood claims since 1978
97
Claims paid since 1978
$1.39M

Flood claims paid per year

Flood claims paid per year in Palo Pinto County
  • Early summer severe storms$407K · 10 claims
  • Spring severe storms$197K · 5 claims
  • Late winter severe storms$145K · 7 claims
  • Early summer storms$59.68K · 4 claims
  • Thunderstorms$44.99K · 7 claims
  • Texas Spring Flooding$37.81K · 1 claim

Storm history

Since 1996: 664 events, 4 deaths, $54.14M in damage

  • Hail246
  • Thunderstorm Wind116
  • Drought85
  • Flash Flood49 · 1 death
  • Heat35
  • Tornado24
  • Excessive Heat20
  • Wildfire19 · 1 death
  • Winter Storm18 · 1 death
  • Flood12 · 1 death

Events per year

Storm events per year in Palo Pinto County
22
26
32
5
43
19
24
17
34
19
1
16
15
9
9
27
34
23
33
16

48 tornadoes on record (EF0 10, EF1 7, EF3 1, F0 10, F1 15, F2 2, F3 1).

Most damaging storms

Since 1996, ranked by deaths, injuries and damage

  • Wildfire04/10/2011

    Palo Pinto

    $20M damage

    What happened

    The Hohertz fire began in southwest Palo Pinto County, approximately 9 miles northwest of Strawn. The local newspaper reported an arching power line started the fire in a pasture. Early on, some deer stands and oil field equipment were burned. On April 15th, this fire merged with the PK West Fire in Stephens County and the fires were renamed the PK Complex. On April 17th, the PK East fire in Palo Pinto County burned into this complex, and on April 19th, the Jackson Ranch Fire in Stephens County also joined this complex. In all, 126,734 acres were burned by this complex of four fires, 167 homes were destroyed, 2 churches were destroyed, and another 124 outbuildings were lost.

  • Wildfire08/30/2011

    Palo Pinto

    1 injured, $12M damage

    What happened

    The 101 Ranch fire began on August 30th south of Possum Kingdom Lake on the east side of Highway 16. The fire burned to the north, jumped the highway and burned into the Gaines Bend and Cliffs Subdivisions. It was finally controlled on October 11th after burning 6555 acres. The fire burned 39 homes in the Cliffs and Gaines Bend. The guard shack, the pro shop, and the front office to the Cliffs also burned, and nine recreational vehicles were lost in the fire. One person suffered minor burns and two firefighters sustained minor ankle injuries.

  • Flash Flood03/30/2007

    Possum Kingdom Lake, Palo Pinto County

    1 death, 1 injured, $10K damage

    What happened

    Numerous roads closed due to flooding countywide, including Old Christian Road and Highway 254 East near Graford, and FM 2270 near Salesville. Numerous high water rescues were required. A boy who was trying to wakeboard in the flood waters was dragged several blocks and hurt his leg. A man who was believed to be driving on Hell's Gate Drive near Possum Kingdom Lake during the storms was found dead three days later in the lake.

  • Hail2.5" hail04/18/2008

    Mineral Wells, Palo Pinto County

    1 injured, $10M damage

    What happened

    Tennis ball-size hail broke windows, damaged vehicles, and downed power and cable lines. The Palo Pinto General Hospital sustained about $400,000 damage to its roof. The Wal-Mart in town had every skylight broken which resulted in water damage. Mineral Wells High School sustained heavy damage to its roof and also to its new outdoor stadium and bleachers. Numerous city vehicles as well as private vehicles and residences received damage from the large hail. Car dealerships reported damage to 8,000 cars in the metroplex. Most of the damage in Palo Pinto County occurred in a west to east swath north of Highway 180. One woman was injured when she was hit in the head with a large hailstone but did not seek medical attention.

  • Winter Storm12/24/2009

    Palo Pinto

    1 death, $75K damage

    What happened

    Local COOP Observers reported 4-5 of snow across the western half of the county. Only 3 of snow was reported at Mineral Wells and other eastern parts of the county. The local newspaper reported that up to 9 of snow may have fallen in the far northwestern corner of the county near Possum Kingdom Lake. Strong winds created near blizzard conditions across mainly the western half of the county during the afternoon hours. The peak wind reported at the automated weather station in Mineral Wells (K0F2) was 45 mph. At night, the snow froze on the roadways, creating icy roads and treacherous travel conditions across the county through Christmas morning. No roads were closed in the county during this event, but a fatal accident occurred during the afternoon hours on HWY 281 killing one female.

  • Wildfire07/04/2011

    Palo Pinto

    1 death, $30K damage

    What happened

    A grass fire began on July 4th approximately 5 miles northwest of Mineral Wells. This fire was contained on July 15th and burned a total of 932 acres. A camper and some outbuildings were lost in the fire. On the 7th, a firefighter from Boise, ID died due to hyperthermia while working on the lines of the 337 Fire.

Latest storm reports

Newest first

  • Excessive Heat07/22/2026

    Palo Pinto

  • Heat07/20/2026

    Palo Pinto

  • Thunderstorm Wind55 kt wind06/19/2026

    Mineral Wells, Palo Pinto County

    $5,000 damage

  • Thunderstorm Wind55 kt wind06/19/2026

    Graford, Palo Pinto County

  • Thunderstorm Wind56 kt wind06/19/2026

    Possum Kingdom Lake, Palo Pinto County

  • Thunderstorm Wind65 kt wind06/19/2026

    Possum Kingdom Lake, Palo Pinto County

    $500K damage

  • Heat06/18/2026

    Palo Pinto

  • Hail1.5" hail04/28/2026

    (Mwl)mineral Wells a, Palo Pinto County

Drinking water

13 community water systems serve about 42,212 people. Violations since 2021.

12 systems had health-based violations, such as a contaminant over the legal limit or a missed treatment step. 8 systems had a violation of any kind still open at last report.

  • City of Mineral WellsServes 15,564 · Surface water · Local government1 health violation+2 monitoring or reporting
  • Possum Kingdom WscServes 8,583 · Surface water · Local government3 health violations+3 monitoring or reporting
  • North Rural WscServes 3,610 · Purchased surface water · Local government1 health violation+3 monitoring or reporting
  • Santo SudServes 3,546 · Purchased surface water · Local governmentNo health violations+7 monitoring or reporting
  • Sturdivant Progress WscServes 3,111 · Purchased surface water · Local government1 health violation+5 monitoring or reporting
  • Lake Palo Pinto Area WscServes 2,247 · Surface water · Local government2 health violations+1 monitoring or reporting
  • City of StrawnServes 1,311 · Surface water · Local government8 health violations+34 monitoring or reporting
  • The CliffsServes 1,115 · Surface water · Private20 health violations+32 monitoring or reporting

Largest systems by population served. Monitoring and reporting violations mean required tests or notices were late or missing, not that the water was unsafe.

Climate

1991-2020 normals at Lake Palo Pinto, 8.2 mi from the county center

Summer highs peak around 97°F in Jul and winter lows bottom out near 31°F in Jan..

MonthHighLowRain
Jan58°F31°F-
Feb62°F35°F-
Mar70°F44°F-
Apr78°F52°F-
May85°F62°F-
Jun92°F71°F-
Jul97°F74°F-
Aug96°F72°F-
Sep88°F65°F-
Oct79°F53°F-
Nov68°F42°F-
Dec59°F33°F-
Year65°F average-

Pollution sites

0 Superfund sites and 6 toxic release facilities in Palo Pinto County

Superfund sites

None in this county.

Toxic release facilities

Total: 222,293 lbs in 2024, 221,878 lbs to air.

Superfund sitesToxic release facilitiesEPA inspections and enforcementAir toxics cancer risk8 historic places

Frequently asked questions

How risky is Palo Pinto County for natural disasters?
FEMA rates Palo Pinto County relatively low for overall natural hazard risk, with expected losses of $14.71M a year. The highest-rated hazards are hail (relatively moderate), wildfire (relatively moderate), landslide (relatively low).
What storms are most common in Palo Pinto County?
Since 1996, NOAA recorded 664 storm events affecting Palo Pinto County, most often hail (246), thunderstorm wind (116), drought (85).
How many tornadoes have hit Palo Pinto County?
48 tornadoes have been recorded in Palo Pinto County since 1950, including 2 rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
How many homes in Palo Pinto County have flood insurance?
127 residential flood insurance policies are in force in Palo Pinto County, covering about 1.0% of homes. The program has paid $1.39M on 97 claims here since 1978.
What is the weather like in Palo Pinto County?
At Lake Palo Pinto, average highs reach 97°F in Jul and lows fall to 31°F in Jan (1991-2020 normals).

Source: FEMA (National Risk Index, NFIP), NOAA (Storm Events, HURDAT2, Climate Normals), EPA · Last updated 08/01/2026 · Storm counts include events in forecast zones that touch the county. This product uses the FEMA OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA.