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Risk: Very Low

Stephens County, TX Environment & Hazard Risk

Very Low natural hazard risk, led by wildfire. 442 storm events since 1996.

Expected yearly loss
$4.59M
Very Low nationally
Storm events since 1996
442
Most often hail
Flood insurance policies
89
2.7% of homes
Hurricanes nearby
0
Since 1851

Natural hazard risk

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025

Overall risk

Very Low

Score 9.2 of 100

Social vulnerability

Relatively Low

Score 36.1 of 100

Community resilience

Very Low

Score 18.6 of 100

Community resilience runs the other way: a higher rating means a community can recover faster.

Building value exposed: $1.88B · Agriculture value exposed: $13.68M · Risk-adjusted yearly loss: $4.77M

Risk by hazard

  • WildfireRelatively Low$288K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 163 years
  • HailRelatively Low$366K/yr expected annual loss, about 6.7 events a year
  • LandslideVery Low$1,884/yr expected annual loss, about once every 6 years
  • DroughtRelatively Low$130K/yr expected annual loss, about 82 events a year
  • Heat waveVery Low$213K/yr expected annual loss, about 12 events a year
  • TornadoRelatively Low$646K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 2 years
  • Cold waveRelatively Low$373K/yr expected annual loss, about 1.1 events a year
  • HurricaneVery Low$11.25K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 100 years
  • Strong windRelatively Low$247K/yr expected annual loss, about 2.1 events a year
  • Ice stormVery Low$10.98K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 1 year
  • EarthquakeVery Low$10.8K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 2,062 years
  • LightningVery Low$18.63K/yr expected annual loss, about 49 events a year
  • Winter weatherVery Low$3,291/yr expected annual loss, about 5.1 events a year

Bars show the national percentile score (0 to 100) for each hazard. Dollar figures are expected annual losses to buildings, people and crops. Not rated here: avalanche, coastal flooding, riverine flooding, tsunami, volcanic activity.

Flood risk and insurance

National Flood Insurance Program and FEMA flood maps

Check the flood zone for an address

Homes with flood insurance
89 of 3,264 (2.7%)
Homes in high-risk flood zones
34
Insured in high-risk zones
78 (0%)
Flood claims since 1978
68
Claims paid since 1978
$896K

Flood claims paid per year

Flood claims paid per year in Stephens County
  • Early summer severe storms$580K · 15 claims
  • Thunderstorms$69.92K · 7 claims
  • Flooding$58.33K · 13 claims

Storm history

Since 1996: 442 events, 1 death, $109M in damage

  • Hail141
  • Drought94
  • Thunderstorm Wind68
  • Heat33
  • Flash Flood26
  • Excessive Heat16
  • Winter Storm14
  • Wildfire12
  • Tornado7
  • Winter Weather5

Events per year

Storm events per year in Stephens County
8
9
24
5
21
12
20
13
24
12
4
5
12
15
12
22
26
14
18
27

22 tornadoes on record (EF0 4, EF1 1, F0 13, F1 1, F3 2).

Most damaging storms

Since 1996, ranked by deaths, injuries and damage

  • Wildfire04/13/2011

    Stephens

    $100M damage

    What happened

    The Possum Kingdom West fire began in Stephens County near FM 1148 and FM 3253. However, strong winds on critical fire weather days also drove this fire into Palo Pinto and Young County. On the 18th, it made a fast run towards Graham in Young County resulting in evacuations for the town of Bunger. The fire also caused several hundred people to be evacuated around PK Lake. It scorched 90% of the 1500 acre Possum Kingdom Lake State Park on April 17th, but no structures were lost at the park. On April 15th, this fire merged with the Hohertz Fire in Palo Pinto County and the fires were renamed the PK Complex. On April 17th, the PK East Fire in Palo Pinto County was added to this complex, and on April 19th, the Jackson Ranch Fire in Stephens County also burned into the complex. In all, 126,734 acres were burned by this complex of four fires, 167 homes were destroyed, 2 churches were destroyed, and another 124 outbuildings were lost. The PK West Fire burned the most acres and may have burned over 80,000 acres. This fire burned 52 homes in Sportsman World, 37 homes at Gaines Bend, and 24 homes in Hog Bend. Several mobile homes on the west side of the lake near FM 1148 and FM 1287 were...

  • Flood05/30/2016

    Hubbard Creek Lake, Stephens County

    1 death, $100K damage

    What happened

    Flooding continued across the southern half of Stephens County after several inches of rain fell in a short period of time as a squall line moved through the area. One person lost her life after the truck she was riding in was overcome by floodwaters near Hwy 183 along Gunsolus Creek.

  • TornadoEF1, 7.06 mi path, 400 yd wide04/09/2008

    Breckenridge Arpt, Stephens County

    6 injured, $1M damage

    What happened

    The second tornado began approximately a half mile west of Highway 183 and south of FM 2231. Power poles were damaged along FM 2231 and Highway 183 and roof and barn damage was noted along Highway 183. The most significant damage occurred at and just west of the Stephens County Airport where several homes had considerable damage along CR 150. Several airport buildings had overhead doors blown in, roof damage, and damage to girders. Power poles were also damaged northeast of the airport near the eastern end of FM 2231. Damage to mobile homes, roofs, power poles, and storage buildings continued across Highway 180 and between Highways 67 and 207. This tornado has been rated as an upper end EF-1 with winds approaching 110 MPH. An estimated 46 homes were damaged in total. Three injuries required hospitalization and there were a few minor ones as well.

  • Lightning02/14/2026

    La Casa, Stephens County

    $2.4M damage

    What happened

    Videos and articles from social and news media reported that a wind turbine south of Caddo was struck by lightning the morning of February 14th and caught on fire as a result. As per pictures, the shell at the top of the turbine was destroyed along with one of the blades.

  • Drought11/01/2006

    Stephens

    $800K damage

    What happened

    Drought conditions continued across North Texas. Although occasional rainfall helped some areas of North Texas improve by the end of October, many areas missed out on the beneficial rains. The U.S. Drought Monitor included more of the North Texas in the Extreme Drought (D3) category by the end of November than in the previous month, but did eliminate the Exceptional Drought (D4) area from North Texas.|Areas which did receive rainfall experienced reduced fire danger. Hydrologic deficits remained extremely high, with almost every lake well below conservation levels. The worst included Lake Bridgeport at over seventeen feet below normal, and Lake Grapevine at twelve feet below normal. Stage 1 water restrictions remained in effect in most metroplex counties. |The Drought Impact Reporter reported that hay prices in Texas were approximately twice what they were before the drought began this month. Crops continued to suffer, with the cotton production this year about half of last year���s crop.

  • Lightning04/03/2025

    Breckenridge, Stephens County

    $400K damage

    What happened

    Fire and rescue reported that a storage building and guest house were struck by lightning and destroyed in a fire shortly after 6am. Two adjacent homes received heat damage.

Latest storm reports

Newest first

  • Excessive Heat07/22/2026

    Stephens

  • Heat07/21/2026

    Stephens

  • Thunderstorm Wind60 kt wind07/06/2026

    Hubbard Creek Lake, Stephens County

    $10K damage

  • Thunderstorm Wind55 kt wind07/06/2026

    Hubbard Creek Lake, Stephens County

    $1,000 damage

  • Thunderstorm Wind60 kt wind07/06/2026

    Breckenridge, Stephens County

    $20K damage

  • Thunderstorm Wind52 kt wind07/06/2026

    Breckenridge, Stephens County

    $1,000 damage

  • Thunderstorm Wind55 kt wind06/19/2026

    Caddo, Stephens County

  • Thunderstorm Wind60 kt wind06/19/2026

    Breckenridge, Stephens County

    $10K damage

Drinking water

4 community water systems serve about 11,080 people. Violations since 2021.

3 systems had health-based violations, such as a contaminant over the legal limit or a missed treatment step. 1 system had a violation of any kind still open at last report.

  • City of BreckenridgeServes 5,807 · Surface water · Local government2 health violations+5 monitoring or reporting
  • Stephens Regional SudServes 5,220 · Surface water · Local governmentNo health violations
  • High Mesa WaterServes 53 · Purchased groundwater · Private1 health violation+13 monitoring or reporting
  • West Central Texas MwdSurface water · Local government1 health violation+2 monitoring or reporting

Largest systems by population served. Monitoring and reporting violations mean required tests or notices were late or missing, not that the water was unsafe.

Climate

1991-2020 normals at Breckenridge, 4 mi from the county center

Summer highs peak around 96°F in Jul and winter lows bottom out near 28°F in Jan. About 29.7 inches of rain falls in a typical year, with 1.6 inches of snow.

MonthHighLowRainSnow
Jan57°F28°F1.57 in0.2 in
Feb61°F33°F1.89 in0.1 in
Mar70°F41°F2.35 in0.3 in
Apr78°F49°F2.33 in0.5 in
May85°F59°F3.92 in-
Jun92°F68°F3.68 in-
Jul96°F71°F2.25 in-
Aug96°F70°F2.53 in-
Sep89°F62°F2.64 in-
Oct79°F51°F2.88 in-
Nov67°F38°F1.88 in0.1 in
Dec59°F30°F1.78 in0.4 in
Year64°F average29.7 in1.6 in

Pollution sites

0 Superfund sites and 0 toxic release facilities in Stephens County

No Superfund sites or toxic release facilities in Stephens County in our data.

Superfund sitesToxic release facilitiesEPA inspections and enforcementAir toxics cancer risk1 historic places

Frequently asked questions

How risky is Stephens County for natural disasters?
FEMA rates Stephens County very low for overall natural hazard risk, with expected losses of $4.59M a year. The highest-rated hazards are wildfire (relatively low), hail (relatively low), landslide (very low).
What storms are most common in Stephens County?
Since 1996, NOAA recorded 442 storm events affecting Stephens County, most often hail (141), drought (94), thunderstorm wind (68).
How many tornadoes have hit Stephens County?
22 tornadoes have been recorded in Stephens County since 1950, including 2 rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
How many homes in Stephens County have flood insurance?
89 residential flood insurance policies are in force in Stephens County, covering about 2.7% of homes. The program has paid $896K on 68 claims here since 1978.
What is the weather like in Stephens County?
At Breckenridge, average highs reach 96°F in Jul and lows fall to 28°F in Jan, with 29.7 inches of rain a year (1991-2020 normals).

Source: FEMA (National Risk Index, NFIP), NOAA (Storm Events, HURDAT2, Climate Normals), EPA · Last updated 08/01/2026 · Storm counts include events in forecast zones that touch the county. This product uses the FEMA OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA.