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Risk: Relatively Low

Alexander County, IL Environment & Hazard Risk

Relatively Low natural hazard risk, led by earthquake. 895 storm events since 1996.

Expected yearly loss
$9.54M
Very Low nationally
Storm events since 1996
895
Most often flood
Flood insurance policies
112
3.5% of homes
Hurricanes nearby
0
Since 1851

Natural hazard risk

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025

Overall risk

Relatively Low

Score 44.1 of 100

Social vulnerability

Very High

Score 86.8 of 100

Community resilience

Relatively Moderate

Score 42.4 of 100

Community resilience runs the other way: a higher rating means a community can recover faster.

Building value exposed: $1.61B · Agriculture value exposed: $21.4M · Risk-adjusted yearly loss: $14.6M

Risk by hazard

  • EarthquakeRelatively Moderate$3.72M/yr expected annual loss, about once every 80 years
  • DroughtRelatively Moderate$375K/yr expected annual loss, about 5.3 events a year
  • Ice stormRelatively Moderate$134K/yr expected annual loss, about 1.3 events a year
  • Strong windRelatively Moderate$470K/yr expected annual loss, about 3.9 events a year
  • LandslideVery Low$1,369/yr expected annual loss, about once every 2 years
  • Heat waveRelatively Low$257K/yr expected annual loss, about 11 events a year
  • TornadoRelatively Low$665K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 5 years
  • Winter weatherRelatively Low$34.99K/yr expected annual loss, about 6.9 events a year
  • Cold waveRelatively Low$395K/yr expected annual loss, about 1.1 events a year
  • HailVery Low$59.71K/yr expected annual loss, about 3.2 events a year
  • HurricaneVery Low$4,356/yr expected annual loss, about once every 73 years
  • LightningVery Low$39.08K/yr expected annual loss, about 56 events a year
  • WildfireVery Low$557/yr expected annual loss, about once every 6,641 years

Bars show the national percentile score (0 to 100) for each hazard. Dollar figures are expected annual losses to buildings, people and crops. Not rated here: avalanche, coastal flooding, riverine flooding, tsunami, volcanic activity.

Flood risk and insurance

National Flood Insurance Program and FEMA flood maps

Check the flood zone for an address

Homes with flood insurance
112 of 3,251 (3.5%)
Homes in high-risk flood zones
1,530
Insured in high-risk zones
105 (7%)
Flood claims since 1978
444
Claims paid since 1978
$3.23M

Flood claims paid per year

Flood claims paid per year in Alexander County
  • Mid-spring storms$1.66M · 70 claims
  • Early winter storms$255K · 11 claims
  • March storm$147K · 11 claims
  • Flooding$79.56K · 24 claims
  • Midwest Flooding$23.12K · 26 claims
  • Central U.S. April Flooding$17.22K · 1 claim

Storm history

Since 1996: 895 events, 0 deaths, $55.86M in damage

  • Flood221
  • Dense Fog122
  • Strong Wind94
  • Thunderstorm Wind66
  • Heat64
  • Winter Weather56
  • Frost/Freeze49
  • Hail40
  • Drought37
  • Excessive Heat27

Events per year

Storm events per year in Alexander County
23
41
35
42
46
34
28
22
39
34
33
45
45
35
27
37
27
36
32
13

17 tornadoes on record (EF0 1, EF1 3, EF2 1, F0 3, F1 5, F2 4).

Most damaging storms

Since 1996, ranked by deaths, injuries and damage

  • Flood07/01/2019

    East Cape Girardeau, Alexander County

    $10M damage

    What happened

    The Mississippi River finally fell below flood stage at the Thebes river gage after spending about four and one-half months above flood stage. While the crest was among the ten highest on record, the extended duration of the flood played an even greater role on the impact. The combination of seepage and relief wells along the levees permitted large amounts of water to seep into normally dry areas. The biggest impacts in Alexander County were weeks after the river crested. Portions of Illinois Routes 3 and 146 were flooded and closed from the East Cape Girardeau area down to Thebes. A number of residences were flooded in McClure and East Cape Girardeau. Further south, the breach in the Len Small levee continued to permit large amounts of water into the Miller City area. A U.S. Geological Survey measurement determined that at least 20 percent of the total Mississippi River flow was exiting through the break in the Len Small levee. County roads and swaths of cropland were damaged extensively by fast-flowing water around the levee break. Six barges passed through the levee break and became stuck on Miller City Road. The loose barges damaged irrigation pivots and farm equipment. The...

  • Winter Storm01/27/2009

    Alexander

    $10M damage

    What happened

    A prolonged, major winter storm dumped 6 to 10 inches of sleet and snow north of a line from East Cape Girardeau through Vienna to the confluence of the Wabash and Ohio Rivers. This resulted in at least two dozen roof collapses and very difficult driving conditions. South of that line, at least one inch of ice accumulated, with locally around 1.5 inches of ice. This resulted in a federal disaster declaration due to widespread tree damage and power outages. Virtually 100 percent of Massac County in the southern tip of the state was without power. The vast majority of nearby Alexander, Pulaski, Pope, Hardin, and southern Johnson Counties lost power. A major 161,000 volt transmission line running across the Ohio River into Kentucky went down. Hundreds of power poles were broken or knocked down in the ice storm area. Power outages generally lasted three to five days in cities and large towns, while many rural areas endured power outages over a week long. Some towns without power lost their water supply because pumps could not fill water towers. A utility company stated the damage was much worse than the ice storm of February 2008, which was their worst on record up until that time....

  • High Wind58 kt wind09/14/2008

    Alexander

    $8.5M damage

    What happened

    Frequent wind gusts from 60 to nearly 70 mph caused considerable damage in southern Illinois. The low pressure center that was the remnant of Hurricane Ike raced northeast at 40 to 50 mph across Missouri and Illinois. The center passed between Carbondale and St. Louis on its way toward the northeastern states. The rapid speed of the low pressure system contributed to this high wind event.||Considerable tree damage occurred. Trees were uprooted, and very large limbs were broken. Some trees fell on homes, outbuildings, and vehicles. Fewer than a dozen homes in each county were damaged by falling trees. Others fell on commercial and public buildings. Numerous trees or limbs fell on roads and blocked them. Road closures were mostly south and east of Franklin County. All roads were cleared of debris within 12 hours in most counties. Minor roof damage was reported on some structures, mostly shingles blown off. A few structures lost entire sections of roof, including the old fire station in Rosiclare (Hardin County). The worst roof damage was mainly in the counties bordering the Ohio River. Numerous power outages occurred as utility lines and even some power poles were brought down....

  • Flood01/01/2016

    East Cape Girardeau, Alexander County

    $4.5M damage

    What happened

    Mississippi River levels continued their climb from December, and record flooding occurred early in the month. At the Thebes river gage, the river crested at a new record of 47.74 feet before dawn on the 2nd. The old record was 45.91 feet, which was set in May of 1995. Records at Thebes go back to at least 1844. The 2016 crest would have been higher if a major levee break had not occurred in Alexander County. Flood stage at Thebes is 33 feet. The primary flood-related impact was a large levee break (about one-quarter mile wide) in the Len Small Levee near Miller City, between Thebes and Cairo. This levee break contributed to major flooding in and near the communities of Olive Branch and Miller City. Several dozen residences were flooded, some of them by water up to seven feet deep. Voluntary evacuations were requested as floodwaters inundated these communities and cut off access roads. Many homes and businesses in these communities were sandbagged, but many of them ended up being flooded. A Red Cross shelter was opened at Cape Girardeau. The National Guard was requested to assist with sandbagging operations and levee repairs. A couple of relatively small levee breaches were...

  • Drought09/01/2007

    Alexander

    $3.45M damage

    What happened

    Severe drought conditions that developed late in August persisted through September. The persistent 500 mb high over the southeast and south central U.S. started to break down at times, allowing an increase in rainfall. At Carbondale, the monthly rainfall was 2.19 inches. This rainfall was beneficial but not sufficient to improve drought conditions. Soil moisture in the top 12 inches of soil was running 20 to 50 percent below normal. This impacted the agricultural sector. Statewide across Illinois, 55 percent of pasture land was rated poor or very poor. The soybean crop sustained over 60 million dollars in losses in southern Illinois alone. Fire danger remained high for part of the month. A ban on outdoor burning was posted in Union and Hardin Counties for part of the month.

  • Frost/Freeze04/08/2007

    Alexander

    $3M damage

    What happened

    This was the fourth and most extreme of several freezes on consecutive nights. Extensive damage occurred to some crops, gardens, and even trees. Record warmth in March preceded these freezes. Most growth was well ahead of schedule when the record cold struck. Low temperatures were near records for the entire month of April. Many lows were in the lower 20's. Significant damage occurred to vegetation. In particular, the apple, peach, and grape crops were virtually wiped out. Unprotected strawberry plots were wiped out. The fledgling winter wheat crop was heavily damaged in addition to some early planted corn. Blossoms on dogwood trees and other flowering trees and shrubs were lost. Foliage on trees such as oaks, maples, and Bradford pears was shrivelled and discolored. Only a few trees that were already under stress were killed.

Latest storm reports

Newest first

  • Flood04/30/2026

    Mc Clure, Alexander County

  • Drought04/28/2026

    Alexander

  • Dense Fog04/25/2026

    Alexander

  • Dense Fog02/27/2026

    Alexander

  • Dense Fog02/16/2026

    Alexander

  • Dense Fog02/10/2026

    Alexander

  • Cold/Wind Chill01/26/2026

    Alexander

  • Winter Storm01/24/2026

    Alexander

Drinking water

6 community water systems serve about 7,545 people. Violations since 2021.

None of the systems serving this county had a health-based violation in this period.

  • Southwater INCServes 2,185 · Groundwater · Local governmentNo health violations
  • Il American-CairoServes 1,821 · Groundwater · PrivateNo health violations
  • Central Alexander Cnty PwdServes 1,763 · Purchased groundwater · Local governmentNo health violations+3 monitoring or reporting
  • Mcclure-East Cape PwdServes 910 · Purchased groundwater · Local governmentNo health violations+3 monitoring or reporting
  • TammsServes 653 · Purchased groundwater · Local governmentNo health violations+3 monitoring or reporting
  • ThebesServes 213 · Groundwater · Local governmentNo health violations+2 monitoring or reporting

Largest systems by population served. Monitoring and reporting violations mean required tests or notices were late or missing, not that the water was unsafe.

Climate

1991-2020 normals at Cairo 3n, 12 mi from the county center

Summer highs peak around 89°F in Jul and winter lows bottom out near 26°F in Jan. About 51.0 inches of rain falls in a typical year.

MonthHighLowRain
Jan43°F26°F3.80 in
Feb48°F30°F3.88 in
Mar59°F38°F4.85 in
Apr70°F48°F5.38 in
May78°F58°F5.08 in
Jun86°F66°F4.37 in
Jul89°F70°F4.10 in
Aug88°F68°F3.18 in
Sep82°F60°F3.51 in
Oct71°F48°F4.14 in
Nov58°F37°F4.46 in
Dec47°F30°F4.25 in
Year58°F average51.0 in

Pollution sites

1 Superfund site and 1 toxic release facility in Alexander County

Superfund sites

Toxic release facilities

Total: 658,740 lbs in 2024, 657,852 lbs to air.

Superfund sitesToxic release facilitiesEPA inspections and enforcementAir toxics cancer risk5 historic places

Frequently asked questions

How risky is Alexander County for natural disasters?
FEMA rates Alexander County relatively low for overall natural hazard risk, with expected losses of $9.54M a year. The highest-rated hazards are earthquake (relatively moderate), drought (relatively moderate), ice storm (relatively moderate).
What storms are most common in Alexander County?
Since 1996, NOAA recorded 895 storm events affecting Alexander County, most often flood (221), dense fog (122), strong wind (94).
How many tornadoes have hit Alexander County?
17 tornadoes have been recorded in Alexander County since 1950.
How many homes in Alexander County have flood insurance?
112 residential flood insurance policies are in force in Alexander County, covering about 3.5% of homes. The program has paid $3.23M on 444 claims here since 1978.
What is the weather like in Alexander County?
At Cairo 3n, average highs reach 89°F in Jul and lows fall to 26°F in Jan, with 51.0 inches of rain a year (1991-2020 normals).

Source: FEMA (National Risk Index, NFIP), NOAA (Storm Events, HURDAT2, Climate Normals), EPA · Last updated 08/01/2026 · Storm counts include events in forecast zones that touch the county. This product uses the FEMA OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA.