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Risk: Relatively Low

Shelby County, KY Environment & Hazard Risk

Relatively Low natural hazard risk, led by strong wind. 308 storm events since 1996.

Expected yearly loss
$21.5M
Relatively Low nationally
Storm events since 1996
308
Most often thunderstorm wind
Flood insurance policies
38
0.2% of homes
Hurricanes nearby
0
Since 1851

Natural hazard risk

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025

Overall risk

Relatively Low

Score 61.9 of 100

Social vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Score 46.2 of 100

Community resilience

Relatively High

Score 79.9 of 100

Community resilience runs the other way: a higher rating means a community can recover faster.

Building value exposed: $12.26B · Agriculture value exposed: $92.82M · Risk-adjusted yearly loss: $23.42M

Risk by hazard

  • Strong windRelatively High$2.58M/yr expected annual loss, about 6.6 events a year
  • TornadoRelatively Moderate$5.94M/yr expected annual loss, about once every 4 years
  • LightningRelatively High$991K/yr expected annual loss, about 51 events a year
  • EarthquakeRelatively Low$974K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 487 years
  • Ice stormRelatively Moderate$134K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 1 year
  • Cold waveRelatively Low$1.32M/yr expected annual loss, about 1.3 events a year
  • Heat waveRelatively Low$283K/yr expected annual loss, about 4.4 events a year
  • Winter weatherRelatively Low$44.74K/yr expected annual loss, about 10 events a year
  • LandslideVery Low$490/yr expected annual loss, about once every 3 years
  • DroughtRelatively Low$29.17K/yr expected annual loss, about 2.3 events a year
  • HailVery Low$114K/yr expected annual loss, about 3.4 events a year
  • WildfireVery Low$8,013/yr expected annual loss, about once every 38,587 years
  • HurricaneVery Low$5,992/yr expected annual loss, about once every 106 years

Bars show the national percentile score (0 to 100) for each hazard. Dollar figures are expected annual losses to buildings, people and crops. Not rated here: avalanche, coastal flooding, riverine flooding, tsunami, volcanic activity.

Flood risk and insurance

National Flood Insurance Program and FEMA flood maps

Check the flood zone for an address

Homes with flood insurance
38 of 17,079 (0.2%)
Homes in high-risk flood zones
78
Insured in high-risk zones
17 (22%)
Flood claims since 1978
31
Claims paid since 1978
$369K

Flood claims paid per year

Flood claims paid per year in Shelby County
  • Flooding$65.22K · 3 claims
  • Tropical Storm Fred$14.66K · 1 claim
  • Not a named storm$5,189 · 1 claim

Storm history

Since 1996: 308 events, 5 deaths, $2.49M in damage

  • Thunderstorm Wind158
  • Hail51
  • Flash Flood26 · 1 death
  • Winter Storm14
  • Heavy Snow13 · 1 death
  • Flood12
  • Tornado9
  • High Wind8 · 1 death
  • Ice Storm6
  • Frost/Freeze5

Events per year

Storm events per year in Shelby County
9
19
3
10
15
11
10
8
18
10
4
6
7
3
15
24
12
4
9
11

19 tornadoes on record (EF0 4, EF1 3, EF2 1, F0 1, F1 5, F2 5).

Most damaging storms

Since 1996, ranked by deaths, injuries and damage

  • High Wind52 kt wind09/14/2008

    Shelby

    1 death, 2 injured

    What happened

    A 10 year old boy was killed when struck by a falling tree limb while mowing the lawn. Two other injuries were reported in Shelby county when a car fell on a father and daughter sitting in a car.

  • Flash Flood03/02/1997

    Countywide, Shelby County

    1 death, $1.2M damage

    What happened

    1 to 2 inches of rain fell on top of 24 hour totals from 6 to 10 inches resulting in widespread flash flooding with many roads water covered and closed and homes damaged. A 13 year old boy was killed as he drowned trying to clean out his culvert.

  • Lightning08/07/2005

    Simpsonville, Shelby County

    1 death

    What happened

    A sixteen year old boy was struck by lightning while horseback riding. Both the rider and the horse were killed. Elsewhere over north central Kentucky, thunderstorm winds downed trees, some blocking roadways.

  • Heavy Snow02/04/1998

    Shelby

    1 death

    What happened

    A freak winter storm dumped as much as 25 inches of snow on parts of Kentucky from the evening of February 3 to the morning of February 6. Most of the Kentucky counties were declared states of emergency by the morning of February 5 as trees and power lines were down across a large area of the Louisville County Warning Area and roads became snow covered, slick, hazardous and in some remote places inpassable. Over the three days, 3 people were killed and four injured across the Louisville CWA. One four year old boy was killed and 4 injured in a multi-car pileup on Interstate 65 in Louisville. A 71 year old man in Louisville was run crushed by his own truck as he and another man tried to free it from a snow drift. Also, a 35 year old man was killed in a traffic accident in Taylorsville. The storm system took a typical winter time path from the Gulf Coast and northeast along the Atlantic coast. However, due to the strength of the system and its slow movement, enough deep layered moisture was pulled into the system from the Atlantic Ocean, that the moisture was able to negotiate the Appalacian Mountains bringing heavy snows much further west than typical "nor'easters". The initial...

  • Lightning06/10/2009

    Shelbyville, Shelby County

    1 death

    What happened

    A 44-year old main died Monday, June 15th after being struck by lightning at his workplace on Wednesday, June 10th. The man was standing outside waiting to be picked up from work when his coworkers heard a very loud boom and looked out to find him laying on the ground beneath the tree. Coworkers and emergency workers performed CPR on the man but he died five days later due to multiple organ failure according to local news reports.

  • Thunderstorm Wind70 kt wind02/06/2008

    Joyes, Shelby County

    $200K damage

Latest storm reports

Newest first

  • Thunderstorm Wind53 kt wind07/28/2026

    Cropper, Shelby County

  • Thunderstorm Wind50 kt wind07/18/2026

    Chestnut Grove, Shelby County

  • Thunderstorm Wind50 kt wind06/18/2026

    Shelbyville, Shelby County

  • Thunderstorm Wind50 kt wind06/18/2026

    Cropper, Shelby County

  • Flash Flood05/23/2026

    Graefenburg, Shelby County

  • Hail0.88" hail05/17/2026

    Simpsonville, Shelby County

  • Thunderstorm Wind50 kt wind04/28/2026

    Chestnut Grove, Shelby County

  • Thunderstorm Wind50 kt wind04/28/2026

    Vigo, Shelby County

Drinking water

4 community water systems serve about 53,306 people. Violations since 2021.

None of the systems serving this county had a health-based violation in this period.

Largest systems by population served. Monitoring and reporting violations mean required tests or notices were late or missing, not that the water was unsafe.

Climate

1991-2020 normals at Shelbyville 1 E

Summer highs peak around 88°F in Jul and winter lows bottom out near 20°F in Jan. About 49.8 inches of rain falls in a typical year.

MonthHighLowRain
Jan42°F20°F4.15 in
Feb47°F21°F3.78 in
Mar57°F29°F4.65 in
Apr68°F38°F4.03 in
May77°F49°F5.17 in
Jun85°F58°F5.24 in
Jul88°F62°F4.10 in
Aug87°F58°F3.69 in
Sep81°F50°F3.45 in
Oct69°F40°F3.51 in
Nov57°F30°F3.52 in
Dec46°F24°F4.53 in
Year53°F average49.8 in

Pollution sites

0 Superfund sites and 7 toxic release facilities in Shelby County

Superfund sites

None in this county.

Toxic release facilities

Total: 2,098 lbs in 2024, 1,875 lbs to air.

Superfund sitesToxic release facilitiesEPA inspections and enforcementAir toxics cancer risk121 historic places

Frequently asked questions

How risky is Shelby County for natural disasters?
FEMA rates Shelby County relatively low for overall natural hazard risk, with expected losses of $21.5M a year. The highest-rated hazards are strong wind (relatively high), tornado (relatively moderate), lightning (relatively high).
What storms are most common in Shelby County?
Since 1996, NOAA recorded 308 storm events affecting Shelby County, most often thunderstorm wind (158), hail (51), flash flood (26).
How many tornadoes have hit Shelby County?
19 tornadoes have been recorded in Shelby County since 1950.
How many homes in Shelby County have flood insurance?
38 residential flood insurance policies are in force in Shelby County, covering about 0.2% of homes. The program has paid $369K on 31 claims here since 1978.
What is the weather like in Shelby County?
At Shelbyville 1 E, average highs reach 88°F in Jul and lows fall to 20°F in Jan, with 49.8 inches of rain a year (1991-2020 normals).

Source: FEMA (National Risk Index, NFIP), NOAA (Storm Events, HURDAT2, Climate Normals), EPA · Last updated 08/01/2026 · Storm counts include events in forecast zones that touch the county. This product uses the FEMA OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA.