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Risk: Very Low

Valley County, MT Environment & Hazard Risk

Very Low natural hazard risk, led by hail. 1,725 storm events since 1996.

Expected yearly loss
$11.21M
Very Low nationally
Storm events since 1996
1,725
Most often thunderstorm wind
Flood insurance policies
17
0.3% of homes
Hurricanes nearby
0
Since 1851

Natural hazard risk

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025

Overall risk

Very Low

Score 35.9 of 100

Social vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Score 40.2 of 100

Community resilience

Relatively Moderate

Score 45.3 of 100

Community resilience runs the other way: a higher rating means a community can recover faster.

Building value exposed: $3.95B · Agriculture value exposed: $124M · Risk-adjusted yearly loss: $11.88M

Risk by hazard

  • HailRelatively Moderate$1.49M/yr expected annual loss, about 1.4 events a year
  • Cold waveRelatively Moderate$5.12M/yr expected annual loss, about 19 events a year
  • Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$94.24K/yr expected annual loss, about 19 events a year
  • WildfireVery Low$45.03K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 1,186 years
  • LandslideVery Low$751/yr expected annual loss, about 1.2 events a year
  • DroughtRelatively Low$52.9K/yr expected annual loss, about 37 events a year
  • Heat waveVery Low$98.38K/yr expected annual loss, about 2.4 events a year
  • EarthquakeVery Low$36.31K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 2,740 years
  • Strong windRelatively Low$148K/yr expected annual loss, about 1.3 events a year
  • LightningVery Low$52.38K/yr expected annual loss, about 26 events a year
  • TornadoVery Low$134K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 2 years
  • Ice stormVery Low$4,077/yr expected annual loss, about once every 67 years

Bars show the national percentile score (0 to 100) for each hazard. Dollar figures are expected annual losses to buildings, people and crops. Not rated here: avalanche, coastal flooding, hurricane, riverine flooding, tsunami, volcanic activity.

Flood risk and insurance

National Flood Insurance Program and FEMA flood maps

Check the flood zone for an address

Homes with flood insurance
17 of 5,960 (0.3%)
Homes in high-risk flood zones
0
Flood claims since 1978
250
Claims paid since 1978
$1.53M

Flood claims paid per year

Flood claims paid per year in Valley County
  • Flooding$18.46K · 3 claims

Storm history

Since 1996: 1,725 events, 1 death, $39.27M in damage

  • Thunderstorm Wind513
  • Hail432
  • High Wind161
  • Drought101
  • Flood85
  • Winter Storm54
  • Dense Fog51
  • Extreme Cold/Wind Chill47
  • Heavy Snow41
  • Winter Weather41 · 1 death

Events per year

Storm events per year in Valley County

44 tornadoes on record (EF0 8, EF1 1, EF2 1, F0 21, F1 4, F2 4).

Most damaging storms

Since 1996, ranked by deaths, injuries and damage

  • Hail3" hail06/16/2007

    Glasgow, Valley County

    $23M damage

    What happened

    Hail up to three inches in size accompanied by winds around 70 mph caused significant damage throughout the city of Glasgow and outlying areas to the west, south and east. See entire episode narrative for full details.

  • Winter Weather11/14/2010

    Central and Southern Valley

    1 death

    What happened

    Valley County Law Enforcement reported an auto accident on Highway 24 about 3 miles southeast of Glasgow. Occupant was believed to loose control on icy patch on bridge and was partially ejected.

  • Hail2.75" hail06/17/2007

    Nashua, Valley County

    $8M damage

    What happened

    One hundred percent of the businesses and homes in the town were damaged from the combination of large hail and damaging winds. Many vehicles also had significant damage. Damages included roofing, windows, gutters, siding, trees and gardens. See entire episode narrative for full details.

  • Blizzard02/10/2004

    Central and Southern Valley

    3 injured

    What happened

    A blizzard affected most of northeast Montana, beginning during the late morning and early afternoon hours on the 10th. Strong low pressure dropped south out of Saskatchewan and into central North Dakota during the afternoon and evening. A strong cold front associated with the low swept across all of northeast Montana during the afternoon. Northwest winds increased to 30 to 50 mph with many areas reporting frequent gusts to 60 mph. A peak wind gust of 77 mph was reported in Glendive during the afternoon. Periods of snow fell during the afternoon and night. Most of the snow that fell was light and snow accumulations were generally on the order of a couple of inches. The strong wind produced severe blowing and drifting snow, and there were numerous reports of whiteout conditions with the visibility reduced to near zero. By the evening of the 10th, all roads across northeast Montana were either closed, or open to emergency travel only. All roads connecting northeast Montana with North Dakota were closed at one time or another, including Interstate 94. Many towns across northeast Montana were isolated during the afternoon and night time hours due to the road closures. At...

  • Winter Weather01/11/2006

    Central and Southern Valley

    2 injured

    What happened

    An area of freezing rain fell in the Milk and Missouri River Valleys from about 20 miles west of Glasgow in Valley County to just west of Poplar in Roosevelt County. Rainfall amounts of two to five hundredths of an inch caused roads to become icy and led to two bad vehicle accidents on Highway 2, west of Poplar. Two people suffered broken bones in the accidents. An accident occurred approximately 6 miles north of Glasgow on the St. Marie Highway. A vehicle slid off the road due to the slippery conditions, but no injuries were reported. There was another vehicle accident due to the icy roads north of Nashua. A Montana Department of Transportation vehicle towing a trailer hit ice and the trailer swing around and hit the towing vehicle. There were no injuries reported. A school bus in Glasgow slid off the road and into a ravine, but there were no injuries reported.

  • Hail4.5" hail07/22/1999

    Glasgow, Valley County

    $1.6M damage

    What happened

    Two supercell thunderstorms moved across northeast Montana causing a path of damage that extended from southern Phillips county to the North Dakota border. The hardest hit was the community of Glasgow where 4.5 inch hail fell damaging cars, roofs, windows and trees as it passed. The largest hail fell from downtown Glasgow near the courthouse northeast to the local Ford dealership. The storms continued east where they produced at least two tornado touchdowns in rural areas. Large hail continued to be reported along the Highway 2 corridor. A tornado touchdown was reported in Bainville where railroad cars were blown off of the tracks.

Latest storm reports

Newest first

  • Heavy Rain07/30/2026

    Duck Creek, Valley County

  • Thunderstorm Wind57 kt wind07/26/2026

    Opheim, Valley County

  • Excessive Heat07/25/2026

    Northern Valley

  • Excessive Heat07/25/2026

    Central and Southern Valley

  • Dense Fog07/16/2026

    Central and Southern Valley

  • Excessive Heat07/12/2026

    Central and Southern Valley

  • Excessive Heat07/12/2026

    Northern Valley

  • Heavy Rain07/04/2026

    Glasgow, Valley County

Drinking water

8 community water systems serve about 5,447 people. Violations since 2021.

2 systems had health-based violations, such as a contaminant over the legal limit or a missed treatment step. 3 systems had a violation of any kind still open at last report.

Largest systems by population served. Monitoring and reporting violations mean required tests or notices were late or missing, not that the water was unsafe.

Climate

1991-2020 normals at St Marie, 4.2 mi from the county center

Summer highs peak around 85°F in Jul and winter lows bottom out near 6°F in Jan. About 11.8 inches of rain falls in a typical year.

MonthHighLowRain
Jan24°F6°F0.25 in
Feb28°F9°F0.20 in
Mar41°F20°F0.23 in
Apr56°F31°F0.82 in
May67°F41°F1.94 in
Jun75°F51°F3.08 in
Jul85°F57°F1.57 in
Aug84°F56°F1.32 in
Sep73°F46°F0.99 in
Oct57°F33°F0.95 in
Nov39°F20°F0.26 in
Dec27°F9°F0.16 in
Year43°F average11.8 in

Pollution sites

0 Superfund sites and 0 toxic release facilities in Valley County

No Superfund sites or toxic release facilities in Valley County in our data.

Superfund sitesToxic release facilitiesEPA inspections and enforcementAir toxics cancer risk12 historic places

Frequently asked questions

How risky is Valley County for natural disasters?
FEMA rates Valley County very low for overall natural hazard risk, with expected losses of $11.21M a year. The highest-rated hazards are hail (relatively moderate), cold wave (relatively moderate), winter weather (relatively moderate).
What storms are most common in Valley County?
Since 1996, NOAA recorded 1,725 storm events affecting Valley County, most often thunderstorm wind (513), hail (432), high wind (161).
How many tornadoes have hit Valley County?
44 tornadoes have been recorded in Valley County since 1950.
How many homes in Valley County have flood insurance?
17 residential flood insurance policies are in force in Valley County, covering about 0.3% of homes. The program has paid $1.53M on 250 claims here since 1978.
What is the weather like in Valley County?
At St Marie, average highs reach 85°F in Jul and lows fall to 6°F in Jan, with 11.8 inches of rain a year (1991-2020 normals).

Source: FEMA (National Risk Index, NFIP), NOAA (Storm Events, HURDAT2, Climate Normals), EPA · Last updated 08/01/2026 · Storm counts include events in forecast zones that touch the county. This product uses the FEMA OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA.