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Risk: Relatively Low

Colfax County, NM Environment & Hazard Risk

Relatively Low natural hazard risk, led by wildfire. 953 storm events since 1996.

Expected yearly loss
$12.6M
Very Low nationally
Storm events since 1996
953
Most often hail
Flood insurance policies
21
0.3% of homes
Hurricanes nearby
0
Since 1851

Natural hazard risk

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025

Overall risk

Relatively Low

Score 58.5 of 100

Social vulnerability

Very High

Score 95.1 of 100

Community resilience

Relatively Low

Score 35.7 of 100

Community resilience runs the other way: a higher rating means a community can recover faster.

Building value exposed: $4.7B · Agriculture value exposed: $32.3M · Risk-adjusted yearly loss: $21.1M

Risk by hazard

  • WildfireRelatively Moderate$5.7M/yr expected annual loss, about once every 184 years
  • LightningRelatively High$639K/yr expected annual loss, about 68 events a year
  • Winter weatherRelatively High$182K/yr expected annual loss, about 20 events a year
  • LandslideRelatively Low$5,845/yr expected annual loss, about 1.9 events a year
  • HailRelatively Low$112K/yr expected annual loss, about 1.3 events a year
  • DroughtRelatively Low$39.9K/yr expected annual loss, about 163 events a year
  • AvalancheVery Low$126/yr expected annual loss, about once every 30 years
  • EarthquakeVery Low$71.6K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 1,282 years
  • Cold waveRelatively Low$220K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 3 years
  • Heat waveVery Low$35.1K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 26 years
  • Strong windRelatively Low$92K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 6 years
  • TornadoVery Low$99.5K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 2 years
  • Ice stormVery Low$939/yr expected annual loss, about once every 67 years

Bars show the national percentile score (0 to 100) for each hazard. Dollar figures are expected annual losses to buildings, people and crops. Not rated here: coastal flooding, hurricane, riverine flooding, tsunami, volcanic activity.

Flood risk and insurance

National Flood Insurance Program and FEMA flood maps

Check the flood zone for an address

Homes with flood insurance
21 of 7,809 (0.3%)
Homes in high-risk flood zones
210
Insured in high-risk zones
14 (7%)
Flood claims since 1978
8
Claims paid since 1978
$13K

Flood claims paid per year

Flood claims paid per year in Colfax County

Storm history

Since 1996: 953 events, 2 deaths, $154M in damage

  • Hail260
  • Drought226
  • High Wind165
  • Heavy Snow123
  • Thunderstorm Wind52
  • Flash Flood35 · 1 death
  • Winter Storm22
  • Wildfire16
  • Tornado15
  • Funnel Cloud12

Events per year

Storm events per year in Colfax County

22 tornadoes on record (EF0 7, F0 10, F1 1, F2 1, F3 1).

Most damaging storms

Since 1996, ranked by deaths, injuries and damage

  • Wildfire05/01/2022

    East Slopes Sangre De Cristo Mountains

    3 injured, $100M damage

    What happened

    The Hermits Peak and Calf Canyon Fire continued to devastate the area as it grew significantly during the month of May. The wildfire at the end of April was at 103,908 acres, but continued strong winds across the area throughout the month of May allowed the wildfire to spread rapidly. Within the first three days of May, the fire grew over 40,000 acres to a total of 145,854 acres with only 20% containment. During this time, the fire pushed northward toward Mora and northwest toward Las Tusas and Sapello. It also pushed towards Las Vegas, prompting evacuation orders for the western side of the city. By May 16, the Hermits Peak/Calf Canyon Fire grew to 298,060 acres, officially surpassing the 2012 Whitewater-Baldy Fire and becoming the largest wildfire in New Mexico State history. By the end of the month, the wildfire burned 315,627 acres with 50% containment. Official numbers for homes and structures destroyed are still unknown, but on May 17th, the San Miguel County Sherrif reported that at least 340 homes had been destroyed with 275 other structures lost as well. Damages are estimated.

  • Wildfire04/19/2022

    East Slopes Sangre De Cristo Mountains

    $25M damage

    What happened

    While daily rounds of widespread high fire danger persisted across northern and central New Mexico throughout the month of April, conditions were primed for rapid wildfire growth. The Calf Canyon Fire was sparked on April 19, 2022, near Gallinas Canyon. The wildfire experienced its most rapid growth on April 22nd as a historic and catastrophic fire weather pattern developed across New Mexico. With several hours of widespread 60 to 80 mph wind gusts, the Calf Canyon Fire exploded. This prompted the National Weather Service Albuquerque Office to issue a rare Fire Weather Warning for mandatory evacuations across western San Miguel and Mora counties. By the morning of April 23rd, it was reported that the Calf Canyon Fire had merged with the nearby Hermits Peak Fire, and together, these two fires had burned more than 42,000 acres. A week later, on April 29th, yet another widespread dangerous wind event caused the Calf Canyon and Hermits Peak fires to continue to rapidly spread. This prompted another set of mandatory evacuations across western San Miguel County and the issuance of another rare Fire Weather Warning. By the end of the month of April 30th, the Calf Canyon and Hermits...

  • Wildfire05/01/2022

    East Slopes Sangre De Cristo Mountains

    10 injured, $11M damage

    What happened

    The Cooks Peak Fire started on April 17, 2022 on private land north of Ocate. As a persistent windy pattern continued through the month of April, the fire grew rapidly to 59,063 acres. At the start of the month of May, Philmont Scout Ranch Back Country west of New Mexico State Road 21 in Colax County were given mandatory evacuation orders while in Mora County, residents of Los LeFebres, Los Huerros, and residents east of County Road 009 and north of New Mexico Highway 120 were also given evacuation orders. Firefighters were able to make significant progress on the Cooks Peak Fire during the early part of May. By May 3rd, the wildfire was 59,359 acres with 72 percent containment. By May 13th, the wildfire was 100 percent contained with that same acreage. A total of four buildings were destroyed by the Cooks Peak Fire. Ten injuries were reported from firefighting efforts. Damage estimates were received from the State of New Mexico.

  • Flash Flood06/27/2015

    Eagle Nest, Colfax County

    1 death, 3 injured, $50K damage

    What happened

    New Mexico Department of Transportation closed US Highway 64 as heavy rain caused debris, boulders and a mud slide to cover several miles of the road. Philmont Scout Ranch also reported major flash flooding on the Ponil Creek basin that ran through a boy scout camp site in the nearby mountains. The flooding washed away 4 boys, killing 1.

  • Lightning05/22/2014

    Cimarron, Colfax County

    1 death, 1 injured

    What happened

    State police reported that a man was struck by lightning and killed while riding his motorcycle along U.S. Highway 84 just west of Cimarron at mile post 308 Friday afternoon.

  • Wildfire04/06/2022

    East Slopes Sangre De Cristo Mountains

    $10M damage

    What happened

    On April 6, 2022, a prescribed burn was started 12 miles northwest of Las Vegas, but due to windy conditions in place, the fire soon got out of control and spread rapidly. By April 13th, the Hermits Peak Fire grew to 7,900 acres with 10 percent containment. On April 22nd, the wildfire experienced rapid growth as a historic and catastrophic fire weather pattern developed across New Mexico. Despite 91 percent containment, the wildfire experienced rapid growth and combined with the nearby Calf Canyon Fire. Together, these two wildfires burned over 42,000 acres. As very windy conditions persisted through the remainder of April, the Hermits Peak Fire continued to spread rapidly, and by the end of the month on April 30th, the combined acreage between it and the Calf Canyon Fire was 103,908 acres with now 30 percent containment. Currently, the wildfire may not be fully contained until July 2022. Seven outbuildings were destroyed by this wildfire with an additional 600 structures threatened. Mandatory evacuations were not ordered. Damages are estimated.

Drinking water

14 community water systems serve about 22,078 people. Violations since 2021.

12 systems had health-based violations, such as a contaminant over the legal limit or a missed treatment step. 6 systems had a violation of any kind still open at last report.

Largest systems by population served. Monitoring and reporting violations mean required tests or notices were late or missing, not that the water was unsafe.

Climate

1991-2020 normals at Maxwell 3 NW, 6.4 mi from the county center

Summer highs peak around 86°F in Jul and winter lows bottom out near 12°F in Dec. About 14.1 inches of rain falls in a typical year, with 21.4 inches of snow.

MonthHighLowRainSnow
Jan47°F13°F0.34 in5.2 in
Feb51°F14°F0.29 in3.5 in
Mar59°F21°F0.70 in3.3 in
Apr65°F29°F0.81 in2.1 in
May74°F38°F1.64 in0.1 in
Jun83°F47°F1.89 in-
Jul86°F52°F2.58 in-
Aug84°F52°F2.47 in-
Sep79°F44°F1.64 in-
Oct68°F31°F1.01 in0.9 in
Nov56°F20°F0.35 in1.9 in
Dec46°F12°F0.35 in4.4 in
Year49°F average14.1 in21.4 in

Pollution sites

0 Superfund sites and 0 toxic release facilities in Colfax County

No Superfund sites or toxic release facilities in Colfax County in our data.

Superfund sitesToxic release facilitiesEPA inspections and enforcementAir toxics cancer risk18 historic places

Frequently asked questions

How risky is Colfax County for natural disasters?
FEMA rates Colfax County relatively low for overall natural hazard risk, with expected losses of $12.6M a year. The highest-rated hazards are wildfire (relatively moderate), lightning (relatively high), winter weather (relatively high).
What storms are most common in Colfax County?
Since 1996, NOAA recorded 953 storm events affecting Colfax County, most often hail (260), drought (226), high wind (165).
How many tornadoes have hit Colfax County?
22 tornadoes have been recorded in Colfax County since 1950, including 1 rated F3/EF3 or stronger.
How many homes in Colfax County have flood insurance?
21 residential flood insurance policies are in force in Colfax County, covering about 0.3% of homes. The program has paid $13K on 8 claims here since 1978.
What is the weather like in Colfax County?
At Maxwell 3 NW, average highs reach 86°F in Jul and lows fall to 12°F in Dec, with 14.1 inches of rain a year (1991-2020 normals).

Source: FEMA (National Risk Index, NFIP), NOAA (Storm Events, HURDAT2, Climate Normals), EPA · Last updated 08/01/2026 · Storm counts include events in forecast zones that touch the county. This product uses the FEMA OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA.