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Risk: Relatively Moderate

Otero County, NM Environment & Hazard Risk

Relatively Moderate natural hazard risk, led by wildfire. 830 storm events since 1996.

Expected yearly loss
$43.3M
Relatively Low nationally
Storm events since 1996
830
Most often drought
Flood insurance policies
757
2.7% of homes
Hurricanes nearby
0
Since 1851

Natural hazard risk

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025

Overall risk

Relatively Moderate

Score 84.7 of 100

Social vulnerability

Relatively High

Score 63.5 of 100

Community resilience

Very Low

Score 4.9 of 100

Community resilience runs the other way: a higher rating means a community can recover faster.

Building value exposed: $14.4B · Agriculture value exposed: $23.4M · Risk-adjusted yearly loss: $56.7M

Risk by hazard

  • WildfireRelatively High$11.8M/yr expected annual loss, about once every 105 years
  • Winter weatherRelatively High$414K/yr expected annual loss, about 4.9 events a year
  • LightningRelatively High$1.1M/yr expected annual loss, about 61 events a year
  • Ice stormRelatively Moderate$300K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 4 years
  • DroughtRelatively Moderate$587K/yr expected annual loss, about 113 events a year
  • HailRelatively Moderate$558K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 2 years
  • LandslideRelatively Low$4,209/yr expected annual loss, about 1.4 events a year
  • Heat waveRelatively Low$690K/yr expected annual loss, about 2.4 events a year
  • EarthquakeVery Low$297K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 706 years
  • Volcanic activityVery Low$9/yr expected annual loss, about once every 10,000 years
  • Strong windRelatively Low$314K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 3 years
  • AvalancheVery Low$162/yr expected annual loss, about once every 100 years
  • Cold waveRelatively Low$256K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 5 years
  • HurricaneVery Low$6,625/yr expected annual loss, about once every 106 years
  • TornadoVery Low$64K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 2 years

Bars show the national percentile score (0 to 100) for each hazard. Dollar figures are expected annual losses to buildings, people and crops. Not rated here: coastal flooding, riverine flooding, tsunami.

Flood risk and insurance

National Flood Insurance Program and FEMA flood maps

Check the flood zone for an address

Homes with flood insurance
757 of 28,117 (2.7%)
Homes in high-risk flood zones
5,212
Insured in high-risk zones
688 (13%)
Flood claims since 1978
130
Claims paid since 1978
$1.5M

Flood claims paid per year

Flood claims paid per year in Otero County
Beta

Storm history

Since 1996: 830 events, 0 deaths, $7.7M in damage

  • Drought429
  • Hail98
  • High Wind86
  • Thunderstorm Wind77
  • Flash Flood72
  • Heavy Snow35
  • Heavy Rain11
  • Tornado8
  • Dust Storm5
  • Winter Storm4
Beta

Events per year

Storm events per year in Otero County
Beta

18 tornadoes on record (EF0 5, EF1 1, F0 7, F1 4, F2 1).

Most damaging storms

Since 1996, ranked by deaths, injuries and damage

  • Thunderstorm Wind71 kt wind06/06/2010

    Desert, Otero County

    4 injured, $1,000 damage

    What happened

    A peak gust of 82 mph was reported 10 miles north of El Paso at the KQMG ASOS on the McGregor Range. The Fort Bliss Weather section reported four soldiers were injured when a field tent collapsed during the storm.

  • Dust Storm03/18/2025

    Southeast Tularosa Basin

    3 injured

    What happened

    Otero County Emergency Manager reported US 54 was closed in both directions about 6 miles south of Boles Acres due to a pile up involving 5 semi-trucks. This accident was due to visibilities near zero in the area. Three people were transported to the hospital with injuries due to the accident.

  • Hail2.5" hail05/28/2008

    Tularosa, Otero County

    $2.5M damage

    What happened

    Hail from quarter to golf ball size, with occasional hail stones the size of tennis balls accumulated to about 3 inches in the Tularosa area. The hail was driven by wind gusts up to 80 mph, and broke windows, damaged roofs and sidings to more than 500 homes in Tularosa.

  • Flash Flood06/22/2006

    Alamogordo, Otero County

    $1.3M damage

    What happened

    Strong thunderstorms developed over the southern Sacramento Mountains and along the eastern heights of Alamogordo. One storm in particular dropped about an inch and a half of rain in 40 minutes over Marble Canyon , which drains into eastern Alamogordo. Other storms added heavy rain and several inches of drifting small hail to that section of town. Strong winds blew shingles off houses, but flooding was the main problem. Roads along the eastern heights turned into raging torrents which flowed westward into the center of town. Mud flowed into numerous houses and several vehicles were swept into arroyos. A gas main was broken which led to the evacuation of residents in the vicinity. The state of NM put the damage total at about $1.3 million.

  • TornadoEF1, 0.31 mi path, 60 yd wide06/04/2019

    Boles, Otero County

    1 injured, $250K damage

    What happened

    Storm survey showed a mobile home was completely destroyed with 3 other residences receiving moderate damage due mainly to flying debris. Several out buildings including sheds and barns were either completely destroyed or heavily damaged. One out building was shifted off it's foundation and moved approximately 9 feet north. A metal silo used for storage was lifted off it's foundation and traveled airborne for approximately 400 feet before striking one of the residential structures.

  • Flash Flood08/17/2006

    Alamogordo, Otero County

    $600K damage

    What happened

    Heavy rainfall along the western slopes of the southern Sacramento Mountains led to excessive runoff and major flooding in Alamogordo and Boles Acres. Numerous roads throughout the area were closed, covered with water and debris. There were also some rescues of people trapped in their homes.

Drinking water

36 community water systems serve about 66,334 people. Violations since 2021.

17 systems had health-based violations, such as a contaminant over the legal limit or a missed treatment step. 11 systems had a violation of any kind still open at last report.

Largest systems by population served. Monitoring and reporting violations mean required tests or notices were late or missing, not that the water was unsafe.

Pollution sites

0 Superfund sites and 2 toxic release facilities in Otero County

Superfund sites

None in this county.

Toxic release facilities

Total: 211,639 lbs in 2024, 652 lbs to air.

Superfund sitesToxic release facilitiesEPA inspections and enforcementAir toxics cancer risk19 historic places

Frequently asked questions

How risky is Otero County for natural disasters?
FEMA rates Otero County relatively moderate for overall natural hazard risk, with expected losses of $43.3M a year. The highest-rated hazards are wildfire (relatively high), winter weather (relatively high), lightning (relatively high).
What storms are most common in Otero County?
Since 1996, NOAA recorded 830 storm events affecting Otero County, most often drought (429), hail (98), high wind (86).
How many tornadoes have hit Otero County?
18 tornadoes have been recorded in Otero County since 1950.
How many homes in Otero County have flood insurance?
757 residential flood insurance policies are in force in Otero County, covering about 2.7% of homes. The program has paid $1.5M on 130 claims here since 1978.
What is the weather like in Otero County?
At Alamogordo, average highs reach 94°F in Jun and lows fall to 33°F in Dec, with 10.6 inches of rain a year (1991-2020 normals).

Source: FEMA (National Risk Index, NFIP), NOAA (Storm Events, HURDAT2, Climate Normals), EPA · Last updated 08/01/2026 · Storm counts include events in forecast zones that touch the county. This product uses the FEMA OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA.

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