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Risk: Relatively Moderate

Valencia County, NM Environment & Hazard Risk

Relatively Moderate natural hazard risk, led by earthquake. 476 storm events since 1996.

Expected yearly loss
$37.52M
Relatively Low nationally
Storm events since 1996
476
Most often drought
Flood insurance policies
2,142
6.7% of homes
Hurricanes nearby
0
Since 1851

Natural hazard risk

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025

Overall risk

Relatively Moderate

Score 82.3 of 100

Social vulnerability

Relatively High

Score 64.2 of 100

Community resilience

Very Low

Score 3.8 of 100

Community resilience runs the other way: a higher rating means a community can recover faster.

Building value exposed: $14.96B · Agriculture value exposed: $59.34M · Risk-adjusted yearly loss: $49.75M

Risk by hazard

  • EarthquakeRelatively Moderate$4.4M/yr expected annual loss, about once every 203 years
  • LightningRelatively High$913K/yr expected annual loss, about 58 events a year
  • WildfireRelatively Low$727K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 1,207 years
  • Winter weatherRelatively Moderate$190K/yr expected annual loss, about 7.6 events a year
  • Heat waveRelatively Low$724K/yr expected annual loss, about 2.4 events a year
  • HailRelatively Low$348K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 2 years
  • DroughtRelatively Low$174K/yr expected annual loss, about 53 events a year
  • Strong windRelatively Low$209K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 4 years
  • TornadoVery Low$175K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 14 years
  • Volcanic activityVery Low$0/yr expected annual loss, about once every 5,000 years
  • AvalancheVery Low$16/yr expected annual loss, about once every 100 years
  • Cold waveVery Low$130K/yr expected annual loss, about once every 18 years
  • Ice stormVery Low$5,774/yr expected annual loss, about once every 67 years
  • LandslideVery Low$19/yr expected annual loss, about once every 5 years

Bars show the national percentile score (0 to 100) for each hazard. Dollar figures are expected annual losses to buildings, people and crops. Not rated here: coastal flooding, hurricane, riverine flooding, tsunami.

Flood risk and insurance

National Flood Insurance Program and FEMA flood maps

Check the flood zone for an address

Homes with flood insurance
2,142 of 32,101 (6.7%)
Homes in high-risk flood zones
14,722
Insured in high-risk zones
2,111 (14%)
Flood claims since 1978
125
Claims paid since 1978
$982K

Flood claims paid per year

Flood claims paid per year in Valencia County

Storm history

Since 1996: 476 events, 3 deaths, $23.61M in damage

  • Drought171
  • High Wind123
  • Heavy Snow61 · 3 deaths
  • Thunderstorm Wind29
  • Hail26
  • Flash Flood20
  • Wildfire11
  • Dust Storm6
  • Strong Wind6
  • Flood4

Events per year

Storm events per year in Valencia County
9
2
1
10
1
2
1
9
7
10
42
83
74
66
53
64
20

8 tornadoes on record (EF0 2, F0 3, F1 1, F2 2).

Most damaging storms

Since 1996, ranked by deaths, injuries and damage

  • Dust Storm06/19/2024

    Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area

    51 injured, $100K damage

    What happened

    Strong outflow winds from thunderstorms along the central mountain chain resulted in a haboob moving west across Interstate 25. The lower visibility resulted in a 23 car pile up and the resultant closure of Interstate 25 between San Felipe casino and Santo Domingo Pueblo. News reports showed 51 people were taken to the hospital.

  • Heavy Snow02/02/2022

    Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood

    2 deaths

    What happened

    Various sources measured heavy snow totals in excess of six inches across the area. The highest snow totals were near Sandia Park where a CoCoRaHS observer measured 16.4 inches of snow while areas near Sedillo and Edgewood received 10 to 12 inches of new snow. The heavy snow resulted in snow packed and icy roads which lead to severe driving conditions in the area. Several motor vehicle accidents were reported, but one of these crashes resulted in two indirect fatalities. Two people inside of a car traveling near Sandia Crest fell nearly 100 feet down the side of the mountain. One was declared dead at the scene while the other was rescued and transported to the hospital, but they later succumbed to their injuries.

  • Heavy Snow02/02/2022

    Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area

    1 death, 3 injured

    What happened

    Numerous sources reported heavy snow across the Albuquerque metro area. Snow totals varied across the city with the highest totals located in the northern half of the metro where a CoCoRaHS observer in Rio Rancho measured 7.5 inches of snow. At the official climate site at the Albuquerque International Airport, the snow total for this event was 1.6 inches. This snow combined with dangerously cold temperatures resulted in treacherous road conditions. The Albuquerque Police Department responded to 51 vehicle accidents during this event with three of those involving injuries. One indirect fatality also resulted from this event. A Rio Grande High School senior was struck by an out-of-control pickup truck in Los Lunas as he was helping a woman whose car had gotten stuck in the ice and snow. The 18-year-old male was pronounced dead at the scene.

  • Flash Flood09/29/2017

    Belen, Valencia County

    $7.5M damage

    What happened

    Retention ponds in Belen overflowing into neighborhoods on west side of Belen. Widespread street flooding in town. Travel along Interstate 25 becoming very difficult as water is ponding along the highway.

  • Wildfire06/21/2025

    Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area

    $4M damage

    What happened

    The Cotton fire was discovered in the afternoon of 6/21 while the Cotton II was discovered on the morning of 6/22 and determined to be human caused. Both quickly became combined into the Desert Willow Complex Fire on 6/22 burning in the bosque area on both sides of the Rio Grande north and south of Main Street Bridge in Los Lunas. Unfortunately, 11 structures were destroyed with 9 of them homes, and 4 other structures were damaged. Media reported 12 firefighters were treated for smoke and heat injuries while two firefighters were hospitalized. Evacuations were ordered for residences in the area, ending by the 23rd. The Cotton fire burned 95 acres while the Cotton II fire burned 145 acres, totaling 237 acres for the entire complex. Damage is an estimate based on the number of homes and structures destroyed.

  • Thunderstorm Wind70 kt wind05/24/1999

    Los Chavez, Valencia County

    2 injured, $1.2M damage

    What happened

    A severe storm which began near Alamo in northwest Socorro County swept northeast across central Valencia County with high winds and large hail. Heavy wind damage from sustained winds estimated near 80 mph overturned and destroyed about 15 mobile homes and caused damage to about 150 other homes with many small outbuildings and sheds blown down in the area from Los Chavez to Tome Hill between Los Lunas and Belen. Large hail also knocked out numerous windows and broke windshields. Only two relatively minor injuries were reported in the hardest hit area. Residents had 40-60 minutes advanced warning and school officials successfully evacuated numerous portable classroom buildings without incident or injury to students before high winds struck.

Latest storm reports

Newest first

  • TornadoEF0, 1.2 mi path, 60 yd wide06/25/2026

    Los Lunas, Valencia County

    $300K damage

  • Wildfire06/20/2026

    South Central Highlands

  • Drought06/01/2026

    Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area

  • Drought06/01/2026

    Sandia/Manzano Mountains Including Edgewood

  • Drought06/01/2026

    West Central Highlands

  • Drought05/01/2026

    West Central Highlands

  • High Wind62 kt wind04/26/2026

    Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area

  • High Wind66 kt wind04/26/2026

    South Central Highlands

Drinking water

18 community water systems serve about 49,873 people. Violations since 2021.

11 systems had health-based violations, such as a contaminant over the legal limit or a missed treatment step. 6 systems had a violation of any kind still open at last report.

Largest systems by population served. Monitoring and reporting violations mean required tests or notices were late or missing, not that the water was unsafe.

Climate

1991-2020 normals at Los Lunas 3 Ssw, 6.9 mi from the county center

Summer highs peak around 93°F in Jul and winter lows bottom out near 19°F in Jan. About 9.2 inches of rain falls in a typical year, with 5.1 inches of snow.

MonthHighLowRainSnow
Jan51°F19°F0.45 in1.5 in
Feb58°F23°F0.42 in0.7 in
Mar66°F30°F0.54 in0.3 in
Apr73°F37°F0.55 in-
May82°F46°F0.49 in-
Jun92°F56°F0.52 in-
Jul93°F62°F1.55 in-
Aug91°F60°F1.53 in-
Sep85°F52°F1.15 in-
Oct74°F38°F0.92 in0.4 in
Nov61°F27°F0.57 in0.6 in
Dec50°F20°F0.54 in1.6 in
Year56°F average9.23 in5.1 in

Pollution sites

1 Superfund site and 1 toxic release facility in Valencia County

Superfund sites

Toxic release facilities

Total: 53,711 lbs in 2024, 25,816 lbs to air.

Superfund sitesToxic release facilitiesEPA inspections and enforcementAir toxics cancer risk9 historic places

Frequently asked questions

How risky is Valencia County for natural disasters?
FEMA rates Valencia County relatively moderate for overall natural hazard risk, with expected losses of $37.52M a year. The highest-rated hazards are earthquake (relatively moderate), lightning (relatively high), wildfire (relatively low).
What storms are most common in Valencia County?
Since 1996, NOAA recorded 476 storm events affecting Valencia County, most often drought (171), high wind (123), heavy snow (61).
How many tornadoes have hit Valencia County?
8 tornadoes have been recorded in Valencia County since 1950.
How many homes in Valencia County have flood insurance?
2,142 residential flood insurance policies are in force in Valencia County, covering about 6.7% of homes. The program has paid $982K on 125 claims here since 1978.
What is the weather like in Valencia County?
At Los Lunas 3 Ssw, average highs reach 93°F in Jul and lows fall to 19°F in Jan, with 9.2 inches of rain a year (1991-2020 normals).

Source: FEMA (National Risk Index, NFIP), NOAA (Storm Events, HURDAT2, Climate Normals), EPA · Last updated 08/01/2026 · Storm counts include events in forecast zones that touch the county. This product uses the FEMA OpenFEMA API, but is not endorsed by FEMA.